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政治·美国大选

Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?

Market icon
政治·美国大选

Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?

Jill Stein 99.6%

Cornel West <1%

Chase Oliver <1%

RFK Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$1,703,873 交易量

Jill Stein 99.6%

Cornel West <1%

Chase Oliver <1%

RFK Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$1,703,873 交易量

Market icon

RFK Jr.

$132,844 交易量

No

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Chase Oliver

$54,805 交易量

No

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Jill Stein

$1,401,482 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Cornel West

$60,478 交易量

No

Market icon

Other

$15,983 交易量

No

Market icon

Vermin Supreme

$38,281 交易量

No

In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chase Oliver is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen. In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jill Stein is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen. In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cornel West is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen. In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate other than RFK Jr., Chase Oliver, Jill Stein, Cornel West, or Vermin Supreme is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen. In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vermin Supreme is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chase Oliver is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen. In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jill Stein is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen. In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cornel West is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen. In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate other than RFK Jr., Chase Oliver, Jill Stein, Cornel West, or Vermin Supreme is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen. In US elections, a third party candidate is any candidate running as a member of neither the Democratic nor Republican party. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vermin Supreme is the third party candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes each candidate receives in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Jill Stein"，概率为 100%，其次是"RFK Jr."，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?"已产生 $1.7 million 的总交易量（自Oct 30, 2024市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?"的当前领先者是"Jill Stein"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"RFK Jr."，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。