Bipartisan congressional action has repeatedly raised or suspended the statutory debt limit to accommodate federal borrowing needs, with the most recent measure in July 2025 increasing the ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion. This adjustment, combined with Treasury extraordinary measures and the consistent priority given to debt service payments, underpins trader consensus that default remains unlikely by 2027. Historical precedent shows Congress addressing the limit through reconciliation or continuing resolutions ahead of any X-date exhaustion. While near-term gridlock during a future ceiling debate or an acute fiscal shock could introduce short-term uncertainty, procedural tools and economic incentives strongly favor resolution without default.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于到2027年美国债务违约？
到2027年美国债务违约？
是
$15,053 交易量
$15,053 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$15,053 交易量
$15,053 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Bipartisan congressional action has repeatedly raised or suspended the statutory debt limit to accommodate federal borrowing needs, with the most recent measure in July 2025 increasing the ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion. This adjustment, combined with Treasury extraordinary measures and the consistent priority given to debt service payments, underpins trader consensus that default remains unlikely by 2027. Historical precedent shows Congress addressing the limit through reconciliation or continuing resolutions ahead of any X-date exhaustion. While near-term gridlock during a future ceiling debate or an acute fiscal shock could introduce short-term uncertainty, procedural tools and economic incentives strongly favor resolution without default.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
交易量
$15,053结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Bipartisan congressional action has repeatedly raised or suspended the statutory debt limit to accommodate federal borrowing needs, with the most recent measure in July 2025 increasing the ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion. This adjustment, combined with Treasury extraordinary measures and the consistent priority given to debt service payments, underpins trader consensus that default remains unlikely by 2027. Historical precedent shows Congress addressing the limit through reconciliation or continuing resolutions ahead of any X-date exhaustion. While near-term gridlock during a future ceiling debate or an acute fiscal shock could introduce short-term uncertainty, procedural tools and economic incentives strongly favor resolution without default.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
交易量
$15,053结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan congressional action has repeatedly raised or suspended the statutory debt limit to accommodate federal borrowing needs, with the most recent measure in July 2025 increasing the ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion. This adjustment, combined with Treasury extraordinary measures and the consistent priority given to debt service payments, underpins trader consensus that default remains unlikely by 2027. Historical precedent shows Congress addressing the limit through reconciliation or continuing resolutions ahead of any X-date exhaustion. While near-term gridlock during a future ceiling debate or an acute fiscal shock could introduce short-term uncertainty, procedural tools and economic incentives strongly favor resolution without default.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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