The substantial debt ceiling increase enacted through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which raised the limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, provides extended borrowing authority projected to cover obligations through much of 2027. Congress has repeatedly raised or suspended the limit over decades to meet existing commitments, reflecting consistent prioritization of debt service payments and recognition of severe economic disruptions from any default. Traders assign very high probability to no default by 2027 due to these structural safeguards and institutional incentives. Potential shifts could still arise from extended legislative gridlock or major unforeseen fiscal pressures before the projected breach window, though such developments have historically prompted timely action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于到2027年美国债务违约？
到2027年美国债务违约？
是
$15,053 交易量
$15,053 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$15,053 交易量
$15,053 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The substantial debt ceiling increase enacted through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which raised the limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, provides extended borrowing authority projected to cover obligations through much of 2027. Congress has repeatedly raised or suspended the limit over decades to meet existing commitments, reflecting consistent prioritization of debt service payments and recognition of severe economic disruptions from any default. Traders assign very high probability to no default by 2027 due to these structural safeguards and institutional incentives. Potential shifts could still arise from extended legislative gridlock or major unforeseen fiscal pressures before the projected breach window, though such developments have historically prompted timely action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
交易量
$15,053结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The substantial debt ceiling increase enacted through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which raised the limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, provides extended borrowing authority projected to cover obligations through much of 2027. Congress has repeatedly raised or suspended the limit over decades to meet existing commitments, reflecting consistent prioritization of debt service payments and recognition of severe economic disruptions from any default. Traders assign very high probability to no default by 2027 due to these structural safeguards and institutional incentives. Potential shifts could still arise from extended legislative gridlock or major unforeseen fiscal pressures before the projected breach window, though such developments have historically prompted timely action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
交易量
$15,053结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The substantial debt ceiling increase enacted through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which raised the limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, provides extended borrowing authority projected to cover obligations through much of 2027. Congress has repeatedly raised or suspended the limit over decades to meet existing commitments, reflecting consistent prioritization of debt service payments and recognition of severe economic disruptions from any default. Traders assign very high probability to no default by 2027 due to these structural safeguards and institutional incentives. Potential shifts could still arise from extended legislative gridlock or major unforeseen fiscal pressures before the projected breach window, though such developments have historically prompted timely action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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