Recent congressional action in July 2025 raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, providing substantial headroom beyond current outstanding debt levels. This measure followed extraordinary measures by the Treasury Department and projections of an earlier X-date in 2025, extending the timeline for the next potential constraint into 2027. Congress has repeatedly suspended or adjusted the limit to avert default, which remains viewed as a high-cost outcome due to its effects on Treasury obligations, credit markets, and federal payments. Trader consensus at 95 percent against default by 2027 reflects this recent increase alongside the consistent institutional pattern of timely legislative responses ahead of any binding deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于到2027年美国债务违约？
到2027年美国债务违约？
是
$15,053 交易量
$15,053 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$15,053 交易量
$15,053 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Recent congressional action in July 2025 raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, providing substantial headroom beyond current outstanding debt levels. This measure followed extraordinary measures by the Treasury Department and projections of an earlier X-date in 2025, extending the timeline for the next potential constraint into 2027. Congress has repeatedly suspended or adjusted the limit to avert default, which remains viewed as a high-cost outcome due to its effects on Treasury obligations, credit markets, and federal payments. Trader consensus at 95 percent against default by 2027 reflects this recent increase alongside the consistent institutional pattern of timely legislative responses ahead of any binding deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
交易量
$15,053结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Recent congressional action in July 2025 raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, providing substantial headroom beyond current outstanding debt levels. This measure followed extraordinary measures by the Treasury Department and projections of an earlier X-date in 2025, extending the timeline for the next potential constraint into 2027. Congress has repeatedly suspended or adjusted the limit to avert default, which remains viewed as a high-cost outcome due to its effects on Treasury obligations, credit markets, and federal payments. Trader consensus at 95 percent against default by 2027 reflects this recent increase alongside the consistent institutional pattern of timely legislative responses ahead of any binding deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
交易量
$15,053结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent congressional action in July 2025 raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, providing substantial headroom beyond current outstanding debt levels. This measure followed extraordinary measures by the Treasury Department and projections of an earlier X-date in 2025, extending the timeline for the next potential constraint into 2027. Congress has repeatedly suspended or adjusted the limit to avert default, which remains viewed as a high-cost outcome due to its effects on Treasury obligations, credit markets, and federal payments. Trader consensus at 95 percent against default by 2027 reflects this recent increase alongside the consistent institutional pattern of timely legislative responses ahead of any binding deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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