Traders overwhelmingly price sub-65% turnout for Bangladesh's 2026 parliamentary election, reflecting historical lows like the 2024 vote's disputed 42% amid BNP boycott and the 2014 poll's 40%, compounded by post-revolution instability under interim leader Muhammad Yunus. Ongoing political violence, including recent clashes during local by-elections, eroded voter trust, factional rivalries between BNP and Awami League remnants, and security fears deter participation, echoing patterns in polarized South Asian contests. This commanding consensus embodies skin-in-the-game caution against rapid shifts. Realistic challenges include successful electoral reforms by the new commission, cross-party pacts reducing boycotts, or robust mobilization campaigns ahead of the mid-2026 vote, potentially lifting turnout to 70%+ as in 2018.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于低于65% 100.0%
65–70% <1%
70–75% <1%
75–80% <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
2026-02-12
低于65%
是
65–70%
否
70–75%
否
75–80%
否
80–85%
否
85–90%
否
90%+
否
低于65% 100.0%
65–70% <1%
70–75% <1%
75–80% <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
2026-02-12
低于65%
$0 交易量
是
65–70%
$0 交易量
否
70–75%
$0 交易量
否
75–80%
$0 交易量
否
80–85%
$0 交易量
否
85–90%
$0 交易量
否
90%+
$0 交易量
否
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).Traders overwhelmingly price sub-65% turnout for Bangladesh's 2026 parliamentary election, reflecting historical lows like the 2024 vote's disputed 42% amid BNP boycott and the 2014 poll's 40%, compounded by post-revolution instability under interim leader Muhammad Yunus. Ongoing political violence, including recent clashes during local by-elections, eroded voter trust, factional rivalries between BNP and Awami League remnants, and security fears deter participation, echoing patterns in polarized South Asian contests. This commanding consensus embodies skin-in-the-game caution against rapid shifts. Realistic challenges include successful electoral reforms by the new commission, cross-party pacts reducing boycotts, or robust mobilization campaigns ahead of the mid-2026 vote, potentially lifting turnout to 70%+ as in 2018.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
市场开放时间： Feb 9, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-02-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).Traders overwhelmingly price sub-65% turnout for Bangladesh's 2026 parliamentary election, reflecting historical lows like the 2024 vote's disputed 42% amid BNP boycott and the 2014 poll's 40%, compounded by post-revolution instability under interim leader Muhammad Yunus. Ongoing political violence, including recent clashes during local by-elections, eroded voter trust, factional rivalries between BNP and Awami League remnants, and security fears deter participation, echoing patterns in polarized South Asian contests. This commanding consensus embodies skin-in-the-game caution against rapid shifts. Realistic challenges include successful electoral reforms by the new commission, cross-party pacts reducing boycotts, or robust mobilization campaigns ahead of the mid-2026 vote, potentially lifting turnout to 70%+ as in 2018.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-02-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Traders overwhelmingly price sub-65% turnout for Bangladesh's 2026 parliamentary election, reflecting historical lows like the 2024 vote's disputed 42% amid BNP boycott and the 2014 poll's 40%, compounded by post-revolution instability under interim leader Muhammad Yunus. Ongoing political violence, including recent clashes during local by-elections, eroded voter trust, factional rivalries between BNP and Awami League remnants, and security fears deter participation, echoing patterns in polarized South Asian contests. This commanding consensus embodies skin-in-the-game caution against rapid shifts. Realistic challenges include successful electoral reforms by the new commission, cross-party pacts reducing boycotts, or robust mobilization campaigns ahead of the mid-2026 vote, potentially lifting turnout to 70%+ as in 2018.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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