Harris by 2-2.4 99.9%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 <1%
$3,945,769 交易量
$3,945,769 交易量
Oct 4, 2024
Trump lead
$61,461 交易量
No
Harris by 0-0.4
$57,775 交易量
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
$58,696 交易量
No
Harris by 1-1.4
$2,335,603 交易量
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
$89,739 交易量
No
Harris by 2-2.4
$91,533 交易量
Yes
Harris by 2.5-2.9
$90,754 交易量
No
Harris by 3-3.4
$65,491 交易量
No
Harris by 3.5+
$1,094,717 交易量
No
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of October 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of October 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
创建时间: Sep 20, 2024, 6:54 PM ET
交易量
$3,945,769结束日期
Oct 4, 2024创建时间
Sep 20, 2024, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Harris by 2-2.4 99.9%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 <1%
$3,945,769 交易量
$3,945,769 交易量
Oct 4, 2024
Trump lead
$61,461 交易量
No
Harris by 0-0.4
$57,775 交易量
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
$58,696 交易量
No
Harris by 1-1.4
$2,335,603 交易量
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
$89,739 交易量
No
Harris by 2-2.4
$91,533 交易量
Yes
Harris by 2.5-2.9
$90,754 交易量
No
Harris by 3-3.4
$65,491 交易量
No
Harris by 3.5+
$1,094,717 交易量
No
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
Frequently Asked Questions
"Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harris by 2-2.4" at 100%, followed by "Trump lead" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? " has generated $3.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 20, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? ," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? " is "Harris by 2-2.4" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump lead" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
Frequently Asked Questions