Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Heart for The Hague (HvDH) winning the most seats in The Hague's municipal election, reflecting dominant pre-election polling and exit polls showing the party, led by Richard de Mos, securing around 20-25% of the vote amid strong local support for its focus on housing affordability and anti-establishment messaging. Key drivers include HvDH's incumbency advantages from prior council gains, favorable turnout among urban voters, and minimal competition from fragmented rivals like CU-SGP at under 5%. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from final vote tallies revealing counting errors, coalition maneuvers redefining "winner" criteria, or court challenges to results, though historical precedents favor poll leaders in Dutch local races.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于海牙市政选举获胜者
海牙市政选举获胜者
海牙之心（HvDH） 100.0%
格林左翼－工党（GL－PvdA） <1%
动物党（PvdD） <1%
基督教民主联盟（CDA） <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 18, 2026
格林左翼－工党（GL－PvdA）
否
动物党（PvdD）
否
基督教民主联盟（CDA）
否
Denk（Denk）
否
海牙之心（HvDH）
是
海牙市党（HSP）
否
民主论坛（FvD）
否
民主66党（D66）
否
自由民主人民党 (VVD)
否
社会党（SP）
否
自由党（PVV）
否
基督教联盟–基督教改革党（CU–SGP）
否
海牙之心（HvDH） 100.0%
格林左翼－工党（GL－PvdA） <1%
动物党（PvdD） <1%
基督教民主联盟（CDA） <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 18, 2026
格林左翼－工党（GL－PvdA）
$0 交易量
否
动物党（PvdD）
$0 交易量
否
基督教民主联盟（CDA）
$0 交易量
否
Denk（Denk）
$0 交易量
否
海牙之心（HvDH）
$0 交易量
是
海牙市党（HSP）
$0 交易量
否
民主论坛（FvD）
$0 交易量
否
民主66党（D66）
$0 交易量
否
自由民主人民党 (VVD)
$0 交易量
否
社会党（SP）
$0 交易量
否
自由党（PVV）
$0 交易量
否
基督教联盟–基督教改革党（CU–SGP）
$0 交易量
否
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Heart for The Hague (HvDH) winning the most seats in The Hague's municipal election, reflecting dominant pre-election polling and exit polls showing the party, led by Richard de Mos, securing around 20-25% of the vote amid strong local support for its focus on housing affordability and anti-establishment messaging. Key drivers include HvDH's incumbency advantages from prior council gains, favorable turnout among urban voters, and minimal competition from fragmented rivals like CU-SGP at under 5%. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from final vote tallies revealing counting errors, coalition maneuvers redefining "winner" criteria, or court challenges to results, though historical precedents favor poll leaders in Dutch local races.
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
市场开放时间： Feb 12, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 18, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Heart for The Hague (HvDH) winning the most seats in The Hague's municipal election, reflecting dominant pre-election polling and exit polls showing the party, led by Richard de Mos, securing around 20-25% of the vote amid strong local support for its focus on housing affordability and anti-establishment messaging. Key drivers include HvDH's incumbency advantages from prior council gains, favorable turnout among urban voters, and minimal competition from fragmented rivals like CU-SGP at under 5%. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from final vote tallies revealing counting errors, coalition maneuvers redefining "winner" criteria, or court challenges to results, though historical precedents favor poll leaders in Dutch local races.
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 18, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Heart for The Hague (HvDH) winning the most seats in The Hague's municipal election, reflecting dominant pre-election polling and exit polls showing the party, led by Richard de Mos, securing around 20-25% of the vote amid strong local support for its focus on housing affordability and anti-establishment messaging. Key drivers include HvDH's incumbency advantages from prior council gains, favorable turnout among urban voters, and minimal competition from fragmented rivals like CU-SGP at under 5%. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from final vote tallies revealing counting errors, coalition maneuvers redefining "winner" criteria, or court challenges to results, though historical precedents favor poll leaders in Dutch local races.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题