Trader consensus on Polymarket's "The Drama" opening weekend box office market clusters tightly around the $14-16 million range, with 15-16m leading at 27.5% implied probability, reflecting A24's rom-com's solid midweek presales—including a strong $2 million haul on Wednesday—that have boosted tracking estimates to $15-20 million per recent industry reports. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, building on Challengers' $15 million debut, fuels optimism, but competition from the massive Super Mario Galaxy Movie over Easter weekend tempers >17m hopes at 17%. Key swing factors include final Thursday walkups, audience scores post-embargo, and pre-release buzz, with resolution hinging on Friday-Sunday grosses amid volatile spring positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
15-16m 28%
12-13m 20%
14-15m 20%
13-14m 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
<10m
10%
10-11m
4%
11-12m
10%
12-13m
20%
13-14m
18%
14-15m
20%
15-16m
28%
16-17m
14%
>17m
16%
15-16m 28%
12-13m 20%
14-15m 20%
13-14m 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
<10m
$37 交易量
10%
10-11m
$36 交易量
4%
11-12m
$36 交易量
10%
12-13m
$21 交易量
20%
13-14m
$21 交易量
18%
14-15m
$27 交易量
20%
15-16m
$323 交易量
28%
16-17m
$1,700 交易量
14%
>17m
$4,463 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "The Drama" opening weekend box office market clusters tightly around the $14-16 million range, with 15-16m leading at 27.5% implied probability, reflecting A24's rom-com's solid midweek presales—including a strong $2 million haul on Wednesday—that have boosted tracking estimates to $15-20 million per recent industry reports. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, building on Challengers' $15 million debut, fuels optimism, but competition from the massive Super Mario Galaxy Movie over Easter weekend tempers >17m hopes at 17%. Key swing factors include final Thursday walkups, audience scores post-embargo, and pre-release buzz, with resolution hinging on Friday-Sunday grosses amid volatile spring positioning.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
交易量
$6,667结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "The Drama" opening weekend box office market clusters tightly around the $14-16 million range, with 15-16m leading at 27.5% implied probability, reflecting A24's rom-com's solid midweek presales—including a strong $2 million haul on Wednesday—that have boosted tracking estimates to $15-20 million per recent industry reports. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, building on Challengers' $15 million debut, fuels optimism, but competition from the massive Super Mario Galaxy Movie over Easter weekend tempers >17m hopes at 17%. Key swing factors include final Thursday walkups, audience scores post-embargo, and pre-release buzz, with resolution hinging on Friday-Sunday grosses amid volatile spring positioning.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$6,667结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "The Drama" opening weekend box office market clusters tightly around the $14-16 million range, with 15-16m leading at 27.5% implied probability, reflecting A24's rom-com's solid midweek presales—including a strong $2 million haul on Wednesday—that have boosted tracking estimates to $15-20 million per recent industry reports. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, building on Challengers' $15 million debut, fuels optimism, but competition from the massive Super Mario Galaxy Movie over Easter weekend tempers >17m hopes at 17%. Key swing factors include final Thursday walkups, audience scores post-embargo, and pre-release buzz, with resolution hinging on Friday-Sunday grosses amid volatile spring positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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