A24's Zendaya-Robert Pattinson rom-com The Drama posted a solid $1.7 million in Thursday previews across 3,087 screens, fueling trader consensus for a $12-15 million opening weekend amid fierce Easter competition from family tentpoles like Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Project Hail Mary. Positive critical reception—83% certified fresh on Rotten Tomatoes from 76 reviews, praising director Kristoffer Borgli's squirmy dark humor—bolsters walk-up potential, though the film's niche marital-jitters premise tempers blockbuster expectations against its $25-28 million budget. Pre-sales tracking and star draw have narrowed implied probabilities to a tight race between 13-14m (34.5%) and adjacent ranges, with Friday grosses and holiday family turnout as key swing factors before Sunday close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
12-13m 35%
13-14m 30%
14-15m 22%
10-11m 8.5%
$50,332 交易量
$50,332 交易量
2026-04-06
<10m
3%
10-11m
9%
11-12m
15%
12-13m
29%
13-14m
35%
14-15m
26%
15-16m
6%
16-17m
6%
>17m
1%
12-13m 35%
13-14m 30%
14-15m 22%
10-11m 8.5%
$50,332 交易量
$50,332 交易量
2026-04-06
<10m
$1,473 交易量
3%
10-11m
$831 交易量
9%
11-12m
$1,828 交易量
15%
12-13m
$1,680 交易量
29%
13-14m
$966 交易量
35%
14-15m
$1,003 交易量
26%
15-16m
$9,871 交易量
6%
16-17m
$12,792 交易量
6%
>17m
$19,888 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.A24's Zendaya-Robert Pattinson rom-com The Drama posted a solid $1.7 million in Thursday previews across 3,087 screens, fueling trader consensus for a $12-15 million opening weekend amid fierce Easter competition from family tentpoles like Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Project Hail Mary. Positive critical reception—83% certified fresh on Rotten Tomatoes from 76 reviews, praising director Kristoffer Borgli's squirmy dark humor—bolsters walk-up potential, though the film's niche marital-jitters premise tempers blockbuster expectations against its $25-28 million budget. Pre-sales tracking and star draw have narrowed implied probabilities to a tight race between 13-14m (34.5%) and adjacent ranges, with Friday grosses and holiday family turnout as key swing factors before Sunday close.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
交易量
$50,332结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.A24's Zendaya-Robert Pattinson rom-com The Drama posted a solid $1.7 million in Thursday previews across 3,087 screens, fueling trader consensus for a $12-15 million opening weekend amid fierce Easter competition from family tentpoles like Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Project Hail Mary. Positive critical reception—83% certified fresh on Rotten Tomatoes from 76 reviews, praising director Kristoffer Borgli's squirmy dark humor—bolsters walk-up potential, though the film's niche marital-jitters premise tempers blockbuster expectations against its $25-28 million budget. Pre-sales tracking and star draw have narrowed implied probabilities to a tight race between 13-14m (34.5%) and adjacent ranges, with Friday grosses and holiday family turnout as key swing factors before Sunday close.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$50,332结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A24's Zendaya-Robert Pattinson rom-com The Drama posted a solid $1.7 million in Thursday previews across 3,087 screens, fueling trader consensus for a $12-15 million opening weekend amid fierce Easter competition from family tentpoles like Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Project Hail Mary. Positive critical reception—83% certified fresh on Rotten Tomatoes from 76 reviews, praising director Kristoffer Borgli's squirmy dark humor—bolsters walk-up potential, though the film's niche marital-jitters premise tempers blockbuster expectations against its $25-28 million budget. Pre-sales tracking and star draw have narrowed implied probabilities to a tight race between 13-14m (34.5%) and adjacent ranges, with Friday grosses and holiday family turnout as key swing factors before Sunday close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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