State Sen. Mayes Middleton's commanding 46% first-place finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas attorney general, outpacing U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's 28%, has solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for Middleton in the May runoff, reflecting his self-funding of nearly $14 million that dwarfs Roy's resources and fuels aggressive advertising. Recent campaigning, including Middleton's March 26 CPAC appearance positioning himself as the pro-Trump MAGA choice amid Roy's past Trump criticisms, has widened the gap, while Roy highlights Middleton's lack of courtroom experience. With early voting underway, turnout among conservative base voters and any late endorsements could influence the closely watched GOP nomination to succeed Ken Paxton.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
May 26, 2026
Mayes Middleton
79%
Chip Roy
17%
NEW
NEW
May 26, 2026
Mayes Middleton
$136 交易量
79%
Chip Roy
$3,287 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mayes Middleton's commanding 46% first-place finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas attorney general, outpacing U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's 28%, has solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for Middleton in the May runoff, reflecting his self-funding of nearly $14 million that dwarfs Roy's resources and fuels aggressive advertising. Recent campaigning, including Middleton's March 26 CPAC appearance positioning himself as the pro-Trump MAGA choice amid Roy's past Trump criticisms, has widened the gap, while Roy highlights Middleton's lack of courtroom experience. With early voting underway, turnout among conservative base voters and any late endorsements could influence the closely watched GOP nomination to succeed Ken Paxton.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
交易量
$3,423结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mayes Middleton's commanding 46% first-place finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas attorney general, outpacing U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's 28%, has solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for Middleton in the May runoff, reflecting his self-funding of nearly $14 million that dwarfs Roy's resources and fuels aggressive advertising. Recent campaigning, including Middleton's March 26 CPAC appearance positioning himself as the pro-Trump MAGA choice amid Roy's past Trump criticisms, has widened the gap, while Roy highlights Middleton's lack of courtroom experience. With early voting underway, turnout among conservative base voters and any late endorsements could influence the closely watched GOP nomination to succeed Ken Paxton.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$3,423结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...State Sen. Mayes Middleton's commanding 46% first-place finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas attorney general, outpacing U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's 28%, has solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for Middleton in the May runoff, reflecting his self-funding of nearly $14 million that dwarfs Roy's resources and fuels aggressive advertising. Recent campaigning, including Middleton's March 26 CPAC appearance positioning himself as the pro-Trump MAGA choice amid Roy's past Trump criticisms, has widened the gap, while Roy highlights Middleton's lack of courtroom experience. With early voting underway, turnout among conservative base voters and any late endorsements could influence the closely watched GOP nomination to succeed Ken Paxton.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题