Galatasaray's dominant 86.5% implied probability stems from their commanding position atop the Süper Lig table with 64 points from 26 matches, featuring the league's stingiest defense (18 goals conceded) and potent attack (62 scored), including a seven-match winning streak that extended their lead to four points over Fenerbahçe and Trabzonspor (both 60 points from 27 games). Recent victories, such as against İstanbul Başakşehir on March 14, solidified trader consensus amid rivals' occasional slips, like Fenerbahçe's first league loss on March 17. Key injuries from Champions League duty—Victor Osimhen's forearm fracture and Noa Lang's thumb surgery—pose short-term risks, but squad depth mitigates impact. Fenerbahçe's 12% share reflects their near-unbeaten run (one loss), while Trabzonspor's trails due to inferior goal difference (+24 vs. Fenerbahçe's +33); an upset requires Galatasaray collapses in their remaining 12 fixtures, especially the April 26 derby, coupled with perfect rival results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于加拉塔萨雷 87%
费内巴切 12%
特拉布宗体育会 3.5%
巴萨克谢希尔 <1%
$32,614 交易量
$32,614 交易量
加拉塔萨雷
87%
费内巴切
12%
特拉布宗体育会
3%
巴萨克谢希尔
<1%
戈兹特佩
<1%
贝西克塔斯
<1%
加拉塔萨雷 87%
费内巴切 12%
特拉布宗体育会 3.5%
巴萨克谢希尔 <1%
$32,614 交易量
$32,614 交易量
加拉塔萨雷
87%
费内巴切
12%
特拉布宗体育会
3%
巴萨克谢希尔
<1%
戈兹特佩
<1%
贝西克塔斯
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Oct 9, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Galatasaray's dominant 86.5% implied probability stems from their commanding position atop the Süper Lig table with 64 points from 26 matches, featuring the league's stingiest defense (18 goals conceded) and potent attack (62 scored), including a seven-match winning streak that extended their lead to four points over Fenerbahçe and Trabzonspor (both 60 points from 27 games). Recent victories, such as against İstanbul Başakşehir on March 14, solidified trader consensus amid rivals' occasional slips, like Fenerbahçe's first league loss on March 17. Key injuries from Champions League duty—Victor Osimhen's forearm fracture and Noa Lang's thumb surgery—pose short-term risks, but squad depth mitigates impact. Fenerbahçe's 12% share reflects their near-unbeaten run (one loss), while Trabzonspor's trails due to inferior goal difference (+24 vs. Fenerbahçe's +33); an upset requires Galatasaray collapses in their remaining 12 fixtures, especially the April 26 derby, coupled with perfect rival results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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