President Klaus Iohannis designated Ilie Bolojan, National Liberal Party leader, as prime minister candidate on December 2 following snap parliamentary elections on December 1 that left a fragmented legislature with no clear majority. Traders price a 51% chance of Bolojan exiting office by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over his ability to secure a confidence vote by mid-December amid stalled coalition talks between PNL, PSD, and UDMR, complicated by the Constitutional Court's December 6 annulment of the presidential election first round due to alleged irregularities. Success in forming a minority or grand coalition government would favor his retention, while vote failure or no-confidence motion could force resignation, prolonging instability until new presidential polls in early 2025.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$12,089 交易量
$12,089 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$12,089 交易量
$12,089 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Klaus Iohannis designated Ilie Bolojan, National Liberal Party leader, as prime minister candidate on December 2 following snap parliamentary elections on December 1 that left a fragmented legislature with no clear majority. Traders price a 51% chance of Bolojan exiting office by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over his ability to secure a confidence vote by mid-December amid stalled coalition talks between PNL, PSD, and UDMR, complicated by the Constitutional Court's December 6 annulment of the presidential election first round due to alleged irregularities. Success in forming a minority or grand coalition government would favor his retention, while vote failure or no-confidence motion could force resignation, prolonging instability until new presidential polls in early 2025.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
交易量
$12,089结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Klaus Iohannis designated Ilie Bolojan, National Liberal Party leader, as prime minister candidate on December 2 following snap parliamentary elections on December 1 that left a fragmented legislature with no clear majority. Traders price a 51% chance of Bolojan exiting office by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over his ability to secure a confidence vote by mid-December amid stalled coalition talks between PNL, PSD, and UDMR, complicated by the Constitutional Court's December 6 annulment of the presidential election first round due to alleged irregularities. Success in forming a minority or grand coalition government would favor his retention, while vote failure or no-confidence motion could force resignation, prolonging instability until new presidential polls in early 2025.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,089结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Klaus Iohannis designated Ilie Bolojan, National Liberal Party leader, as prime minister candidate on December 2 following snap parliamentary elections on December 1 that left a fragmented legislature with no clear majority. Traders price a 51% chance of Bolojan exiting office by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over his ability to secure a confidence vote by mid-December amid stalled coalition talks between PNL, PSD, and UDMR, complicated by the Constitutional Court's December 6 annulment of the presidential election first round due to alleged irregularities. Success in forming a minority or grand coalition government would favor his retention, while vote failure or no-confidence motion could force resignation, prolonging instability until new presidential polls in early 2025.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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