Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "Reminders of Him" delivering $16-19 million in opening weekend domestic box office, with 99.4% implied probability, propelled by Colleen Hoover's red-hot brand momentum following "It Ends With Us'" $80 million-plus debut. Robust Thursday previews exceeding $3 million, fueled by BookTok superfans and strong pre-sales in female-skewing demographics, align with historical rom-drama trends like "The Notebook" sequels in adjusted dollars. Positive early buzz from test screenings and minimal competition from family counterprogramming further solidify this positioning. Realistic upsets could stem from scathing critic reviews tanking word-of-mouth, unexpected walkouts over sensitive themes, or severe weather disrupting turnout, potentially dipping below $13 million as traders price at just 0.1%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于《他回忆录》开场周末票房
《他回忆录》开场周末票房
1600万-1900万 100.0%
低于1300万 <1%
1300万-1600万 <1%
1900万-2200万 <1%
$145,967 交易量
$145,967 交易量
低于1300万
否
1300万-1600万
否
1600万-1900万
是
1900万-2200万
否
>2200万美元
否
1600万-1900万 100.0%
低于1300万 <1%
1300万-1600万 <1%
1900万-2200万 <1%
$145,967 交易量
$145,967 交易量
低于1300万
否
1300万-1600万
否
1600万-1900万
是
1900万-2200万
否
>2200万美元
否
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Mar 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "Reminders of Him" delivering $16-19 million in opening weekend domestic box office, with 99.4% implied probability, propelled by Colleen Hoover's red-hot brand momentum following "It Ends With Us'" $80 million-plus debut. Robust Thursday previews exceeding $3 million, fueled by BookTok superfans and strong pre-sales in female-skewing demographics, align with historical rom-drama trends like "The Notebook" sequels in adjusted dollars. Positive early buzz from test screenings and minimal competition from family counterprogramming further solidify this positioning. Realistic upsets could stem from scathing critic reviews tanking word-of-mouth, unexpected walkouts over sensitive themes, or severe weather disrupting turnout, potentially dipping below $13 million as traders price at just 0.1%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题