Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a dominant 75.5% implied probability to Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 16 between $5.00-$6.00, anchored by the stock's recent trading around $5.30 following a 15% weekly gain. This sentiment stems from Q4 earnings that beat revenue expectations at $1.15 billion with narrowing losses to $40 million, signaling improved iBuying efficiency amid stabilizing home prices and 30-year mortgage rates dipping below 6.5%. Lower inventory and Fed rate cut signals bolster near-term upside, though high short interest at 18% caps enthusiasm for $6+ bins, positioning $4-$5 as a 14.5% tail risk on potential real estate slowdowns. Key watch: March 15 housing starts data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$5.00-$6.00 76%
$4.00-$5.00 17%
$6.00-$7.00 9%
3.00-4.00美元 2.4%
$115,606 交易量
$115,606 交易量
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
3.00-4.00美元
2%
$4.00-$5.00
17%
$5.00-$6.00
76%
$6.00-$7.00
9%
7.00美元-8.00美元
1%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
$9.00-$10
<1%
>10美元
<1%
$5.00-$6.00 76%
$4.00-$5.00 17%
$6.00-$7.00 9%
3.00-4.00美元 2.4%
$115,606 交易量
$115,606 交易量
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
3.00-4.00美元
2%
$4.00-$5.00
17%
$5.00-$6.00
76%
$6.00-$7.00
9%
7.00美元-8.00美元
1%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
$9.00-$10
<1%
>10美元
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间: Mar 9, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a dominant 75.5% implied probability to Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 16 between $5.00-$6.00, anchored by the stock's recent trading around $5.30 following a 15% weekly gain. This sentiment stems from Q4 earnings that beat revenue expectations at $1.15 billion with narrowing losses to $40 million, signaling improved iBuying efficiency amid stabilizing home prices and 30-year mortgage rates dipping below 6.5%. Lower inventory and Fed rate cut signals bolster near-term upside, though high short interest at 18% caps enthusiasm for $6+ bins, positioning $4-$5 as a 14.5% tail risk on potential real estate slowdowns. Key watch: March 15 housing starts data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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