Recent polls from NIDA and Suan Dusit in October 2024 show Pheu Thai Party (PT) support at 23-26%, trailing the People's Party at 35-42%, reflecting trader consensus for PT securing 70-79 seats in the 500-seat House of Representatives under Thailand's mixed-member proportional system. This projection stems from PT's declining popularity since the August 2024 Constitutional Court dissolution of Move Forward Party, which boosted its successor, amid voter frustration with the ruling coalition's economic policies and pro-military alliances. Incumbency challenges and stagnant growth further cap PT's path to higher seat tallies like 110+. Potential shifts could arise from scandal-free campaigning by PM Paetongtarn Shinawatra, Thaksin Shinawatra's influence mobilization, or a snap election before May 2027 altering turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于110席及以上 <1%
$170,487 交易量
$170,487 交易量
Feb 8, 2026
110席及以上
<1%
110席及以上 <1%
$170,487 交易量
$170,487 交易量
Feb 8, 2026
110席及以上
$0 交易量
<1%
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Recent polls from NIDA and Suan Dusit in October 2024 show Pheu Thai Party (PT) support at 23-26%, trailing the People's Party at 35-42%, reflecting trader consensus for PT securing 70-79 seats in the 500-seat House of Representatives under Thailand's mixed-member proportional system. This projection stems from PT's declining popularity since the August 2024 Constitutional Court dissolution of Move Forward Party, which boosted its successor, amid voter frustration with the ruling coalition's economic policies and pro-military alliances. Incumbency challenges and stagnant growth further cap PT's path to higher seat tallies like 110+. Potential shifts could arise from scandal-free campaigning by PM Paetongtarn Shinawatra, Thaksin Shinawatra's influence mobilization, or a snap election before May 2027 altering turnout dynamics.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
市场开放时间： Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
交易量
$170,487结束日期
Feb 8, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
有争议
已提议结果: 否
有争议
最终审核
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Recent polls from NIDA and Suan Dusit in October 2024 show Pheu Thai Party (PT) support at 23-26%, trailing the People's Party at 35-42%, reflecting trader consensus for PT securing 70-79 seats in the 500-seat House of Representatives under Thailand's mixed-member proportional system. This projection stems from PT's declining popularity since the August 2024 Constitutional Court dissolution of Move Forward Party, which boosted its successor, amid voter frustration with the ruling coalition's economic policies and pro-military alliances. Incumbency challenges and stagnant growth further cap PT's path to higher seat tallies like 110+. Potential shifts could arise from scandal-free campaigning by PM Paetongtarn Shinawatra, Thaksin Shinawatra's influence mobilization, or a snap election before May 2027 altering turnout dynamics.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
交易量
$170,487结束日期
Feb 8, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
有争议
已提议结果: 否
有争议
最终审核
Recent polls from NIDA and Suan Dusit in October 2024 show Pheu Thai Party (PT) support at 23-26%, trailing the People's Party at 35-42%, reflecting trader consensus for PT securing 70-79 seats in the 500-seat House of Representatives under Thailand's mixed-member proportional system. This projection stems from PT's declining popularity since the August 2024 Constitutional Court dissolution of Move Forward Party, which boosted its successor, amid voter frustration with the ruling coalition's economic policies and pro-military alliances. Incumbency challenges and stagnant growth further cap PT's path to higher seat tallies like 110+. Potential shifts could arise from scandal-free campaigning by PM Paetongtarn Shinawatra, Thaksin Shinawatra's influence mobilization, or a snap election before May 2027 altering turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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