# of Republican Senate seats after Election?

# of Republican Senate seats after Election?

53 99.9%

54 <1%

56+ <1%

55 <1%

$12,086,757 交易量

$12,086,757 交易量

2024-11-05

56+

$2,267,278 交易量

No

55

$4,595,290 交易量

No

54

$1,046,718 交易量

No

53

$1,285,723 交易量

Yes

52

$760,865 交易量

No

51

$271,919 交易量

No

50

$321,803 交易量

No

49 or fewer

$1,537,160 交易量

No

53 99.9%

54 <1%

56+ <1%

55 <1%

$12,086,757 交易量

$12,086,757 交易量

2024-11-05

56+

$2,267,278 交易量

No

55

$4,595,290 交易量

No

54

$1,046,718 交易量

No

53

$1,285,723 交易量

Yes

52

$760,865 交易量

No

51

$271,919 交易量

No

50

$321,803 交易量

No

49 or fewer

$1,537,160 交易量

No

The 2024 United States Senate elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested. This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. Senate elections 49 or fewer of voting Senate members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

The 2024 United States Senate elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested. This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. Senate elections 49 or fewer of voting Senate members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"53"，概率为 100%，其次是"56+"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"已产生 $12.1 million 的总交易量（自May 21, 2024市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"的当前领先者是"53"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"56+"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。

可以。你不需要交易也能保持了解。本页是"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"的实时跟踪器。结果概率会随着新交易的进入而实时更新。你可以将本页加入书签并查看评论区以了解其他交易者的看法。你还可以使用图表上的时间范围筛选器查看赔率随时间的变化情况。

Polymarket 的赔率由真实交易者用真金白银支持其判断来设定，这往往能产生准确的预测。“# of Republican Senate seats after Election?”的交易量达到 $12.1 million，这些价格汇聚了数千名参与者的集体知识和信念——通常优于民调、专家预测和传统调查。像 Polymarket 这样的预测市场有着出色的准确性记录，尤其是当事件接近结算日期时。例如，Polymarket 的一个月准确度评分为 94%。有关 Polymarket 预测准确度的最新统计数据，请访问准确度页面。

要在"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"上进行第一笔交易，请注册免费的 Polymarket 账户，并使用加密货币、信用卡或借记卡或银行转账充值。账户充值后，返回本页，选择你想交易的结果，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你是预测市场的新手，请点击任何 Polymarket 页面顶部的"运作方式"链接，获取分步指南。

在 Polymarket 上，每个结果的价格代表市场的隐含概率。在"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"市场中，"53"的价格为 100¢，意味着交易者集体认为"53"成为正确结果的概率约为 100%。如果你以 100¢ 买入"是"份额且结果正确，你将获得每份 $1.00——利润为每份 0¢。如果不正确，这些份额价值 $0。

"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"市场已结算。最终结果已确定，市场不再开放交易。你仍然可以在本页查看历史赔率、结果概率和评论。

"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"市场有一个活跃的社区，有 58 条评论，交易者在此分享分析、讨论结果和最新动态。向下滚动到评论区，阅读其他参与者的观点。你还可以按"持仓大户"筛选，或查看"活动"标签以获取实时交易动态。

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场，你可以在此了解最新动态并利用自己对现实事件的知识获利。交易者买卖涵盖政治选举、加密货币、金融、体育、科技和文化等各种主题的结果份额，包括"# of Republican Senate seats after Election?"等市场。价格反映由金融信念支持的实时概率，通常比民调、专家或传统调查提供更快、更准确的信号。