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地缘政治·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: October

Market icon
地缘政治·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: October

Ended: Oct 31, 2025

Mar 31

Dec 31

Ended: Oct 31, 2025

Mar 31

Dec 31

<1% chance
Polymarket

$128,736 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$128,736 交易量

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by October 31, 2025, 11:59 ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Fed decreased by 50+ bps - US federal government shutdown for 15+ days - TikTok sale announced - Hamas released all Israeli hostages - Obama federally charged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct2.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct3.png

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by October 31, 2025, 11:59 ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Fed decreased by 50+ bps
- US federal government shutdown for 15+ days
- TikTok sale announced
- Hamas released all Israeli hostages
- Obama federally charged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct2.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct3.png
交易量
$128,736
结束日期
Oct 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Sep 30, 2025, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by October 31, 2025, 11:59 ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Fed decreased by 50+ bps - US federal government shutdown for 15+ days - TikTok sale announced - Hamas released all Israeli hostages - Obama federally charged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct2.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct3.png

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by October 31, 2025, 11:59 ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Fed decreased by 50+ bps
- US federal government shutdown for 15+ days
- TikTok sale announced
- Hamas released all Israeli hostages
- Obama federally charged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct2.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct3.png
交易量
$128,736
结束日期
Oct 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Sep 30, 2025, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Nothing Ever Happens: October"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场，交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%（"Yes"）。例如，如果"是"的价格为 0¢，则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Nothing Ever Happens: October"已产生 $128.7K 的总交易量（自Sep 30, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Nothing Ever Happens: October"上交易，只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是"，每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否"，你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Nothing Ever Happens: October"的当前概率为 0%（"Yes"）。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新，持续提供市场预期信号。

"Nothing Ever Happens: October"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。