Market icon

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Market icon

Nothing Ever Happens: July

<1% chance
Polymarket

$119,606 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$119,606 交易量

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Elon Musk creates a new political party -The Fed cuts rates -US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal -A nuclear weapon detonates Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+2.png

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

-Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire
-Elon Musk creates a new political party
-The Fed cuts rates
-US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal
-A nuclear weapon detonates

Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:

https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+2.png
交易量
$119,606
结束日期
Jul 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2025, 3:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Elon Musk creates a new political party -The Fed cuts rates -US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal -A nuclear weapon detonates Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+2.png

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Elon Musk creates a new political party -The Fed cuts rates -US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal -A nuclear weapon detonates Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+2.png

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

-Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire
-Elon Musk creates a new political party
-The Fed cuts rates
-US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal
-A nuclear weapon detonates

Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:

https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+2.png
交易量
$119,606
结束日期
Jul 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2025, 3:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Elon Musk creates a new political party -The Fed cuts rates -US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal -A nuclear weapon detonates Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+2.png

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Nothing Ever Happens: July"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 0¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Nothing Ever Happens: July"已产生 $119.6K 的总交易量(自Jul 2, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Nothing Ever Happens: July"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Nothing Ever Happens: July"的当前概率为 0%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Nothing Ever Happens: July"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。