Trader consensus heavily favors chalk like UConn, Purdue, and Duke to advance from the Sweet 16 to the Elite Eight, reflecting their dominant regular-season form, superior talent, and path advantages, with implied probabilities above 70% on Polymarket. Recent upsets fuel volatility, notably NC State's Cinderella run past Marquette via gritty defense and DJ Burns' emergence, while Tennessee's stout rebounding propelled them past Creighton. Key watch: Purdue's Zach Edey health post-minor ankle tweak (expected to play), Alabama's surge without Collin Sexton-era depth against Clemson's guards, and rest edges for top seeds. Historical trends show 1-seeds reach Elite Eight 75% of time, but bracket chaos from injuries like Houston's Jamal Shead uncertainty could flip underdogs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$22,609 交易量
Arizona
87%
Duke
77%
Purdue
74%
Michigan
82%
Florida
59%
Houston
53%
Illinois
39%
Iowa State
40%
Michigan State
37%
UConn
27%
Tennessee
26%
Virginia
19%
Texas
18%
Arkansas
18%
Nebraska
20%
High Point
14%
UCLA
14%
Alabama
11%
Miami (FL)
11%
Kansas
9%
Kentucky
9%
Iowa
8%
Texas Tech
8%
Utah State
5%
Gonzaga
1%
VCU
<1%
TCU
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
St. John’s
57%
Vanderbilt
46%
$22,609 交易量
Arizona
87%
Duke
77%
Purdue
74%
Michigan
82%
Florida
59%
Houston
53%
Illinois
39%
Iowa State
40%
Michigan State
37%
UConn
27%
Tennessee
26%
Virginia
19%
Texas
18%
Arkansas
18%
Nebraska
20%
High Point
14%
UCLA
14%
Alabama
11%
Miami (FL)
11%
Kansas
9%
Kentucky
9%
Iowa
8%
Texas Tech
8%
Utah State
5%
Gonzaga
1%
VCU
<1%
TCU
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
St. John’s
57%
Vanderbilt
46%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Elite Eight matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors chalk like UConn, Purdue, and Duke to advance from the Sweet 16 to the Elite Eight, reflecting their dominant regular-season form, superior talent, and path advantages, with implied probabilities above 70% on Polymarket. Recent upsets fuel volatility, notably NC State's Cinderella run past Marquette via gritty defense and DJ Burns' emergence, while Tennessee's stout rebounding propelled them past Creighton. Key watch: Purdue's Zach Edey health post-minor ankle tweak (expected to play), Alabama's surge without Collin Sexton-era depth against Clemson's guards, and rest edges for top seeds. Historical trends show 1-seeds reach Elite Eight 75% of time, but bracket chaos from injuries like Houston's Jamal Shead uncertainty could flip underdogs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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