Trader consensus prices a No. 1 seed as the NCAA Tournament national champion at 48% implied probability, anchored by UConn's blowout wins through the East bracket and Purdue's frontcourt dominance with Zach Edey in the Midwest. The No. 3 seed Illinois trails at 36% after grinding victories over ranked foes, while No. 2 seeds Tennessee and Alabama hover near 34.5% with versatile scoring. Recent Elite Eight qualifiers reflect upset volatility: Duke's (4) 54-51 stunner over Houston (1) lifts it to 33%, Clemson's (6) rejection of Arizona (2) hits 32.5%, and NC State's (11) three-upset spree versus Texas Tech, Baylor, and Oakland fuels its 24% share, underscoring seeding's limited predictive power amid momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3 36%
2 34%
4 33%
6 33%
1
48%
2
34%
3
36%
4
33%
5
31%
6
33%
7
32%
9
6%
11
24%
3 36%
2 34%
4 33%
6 33%
1
48%
2
34%
3
36%
4
33%
5
31%
6
33%
7
32%
9
6%
11
24%
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a No. 1 seed as the NCAA Tournament national champion at 48% implied probability, anchored by UConn's blowout wins through the East bracket and Purdue's frontcourt dominance with Zach Edey in the Midwest. The No. 3 seed Illinois trails at 36% after grinding victories over ranked foes, while No. 2 seeds Tennessee and Alabama hover near 34.5% with versatile scoring. Recent Elite Eight qualifiers reflect upset volatility: Duke's (4) 54-51 stunner over Houston (1) lifts it to 33%, Clemson's (6) rejection of Arizona (2) hits 32.5%, and NC State's (11) three-upset spree versus Texas Tech, Baylor, and Oakland fuels its 24% share, underscoring seeding's limited predictive power amid momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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