Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Microsoft (MSFT) to hover around $365-$375 for the week ending March 28, with $360-$370 (34%) edging $370-$380 (32%) in a closely contested race reflecting balanced sentiment on near-term price action. Driving this clustering is MSFT's recent 5% pullback from $425 highs amid tech sector rotation, fueled by hotter-than-expected December CPI data (up 0.3% month-over-month) dimming Fed rate cut odds for March (now market-implied at 15% via Fed funds futures) and pressuring high-multiple names like MSFT (35x forward earnings). Competitive dynamics hinge on Azure's 33% growth outpacing AWS in Q2 earnings, offset by intensifying AI chip supply constraints and EU antitrust probes into OpenAI ties; upcoming catalysts include January 28 Q3 earnings and FOMC January 29 meeting for policy signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$360-$370 40%
370-380美元 32%
$350-$360 16.7%
$380-$390 16%
低于340美元
1%
$340-$350
8%
$350-$360
17%
$360-$370
36%
370-380美元
32%
$380-$390
16%
390至400美元
6%
$400-$410
1%
$410-$420
1%
$420-$430
1%
>430美元
<1%
$360-$370 40%
370-380美元 32%
$350-$360 16.7%
$380-$390 16%
低于340美元
1%
$340-$350
8%
$350-$360
17%
$360-$370
36%
370-380美元
32%
$380-$390
16%
390至400美元
6%
$400-$410
1%
$410-$420
1%
$420-$430
1%
>430美元
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Microsoft (MSFT) to hover around $365-$375 for the week ending March 28, with $360-$370 (34%) edging $370-$380 (32%) in a closely contested race reflecting balanced sentiment on near-term price action. Driving this clustering is MSFT's recent 5% pullback from $425 highs amid tech sector rotation, fueled by hotter-than-expected December CPI data (up 0.3% month-over-month) dimming Fed rate cut odds for March (now market-implied at 15% via Fed funds futures) and pressuring high-multiple names like MSFT (35x forward earnings). Competitive dynamics hinge on Azure's 33% growth outpacing AWS in Q2 earnings, offset by intensifying AI chip supply constraints and EU antitrust probes into OpenAI ties; upcoming catalysts include January 28 Q3 earnings and FOMC January 29 meeting for policy signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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