Recent strength in Microsoft shares, closing at $450.24 on May 29 after a 5.45% gain fueled by AI infrastructure demand and sector momentum, has centered trader focus around the mid-$400s for the June 1–5 period. With implied probabilities tightly clustered between 45.5% and 48.5% across bins from below $380 to above $470, market-implied odds reflect elevated short-term uncertainty and limited catalysts ahead of the July earnings release. Macro factors including Treasury yields, broader equity volatility, and ongoing AI spending trends could shift the outcome, as traders weigh the stock’s recent rebound against its year-to-date performance near flat levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$440-$450 50%
$380-$390 49%
$400-$410 49%
>$470 49%
最新
最新
2026-06-05
<$380
47%
$380-$390
49%
$390-$400
48%
$400-$410
49%
$410-$420
48%
$420-$430
48%
$430-$440
48%
$440-$450
50%
$450-$460
47%
$460-$470
48%
>$470
49%
$440-$450 50%
$380-$390 49%
$400-$410 49%
>$470 49%
最新
最新
2026-06-05
<$380
$1 交易量
47%
$380-$390
$0 交易量
49%
$390-$400
$0 交易量
48%
$400-$410
$0 交易量
49%
$410-$420
$0 交易量
48%
$420-$430
$0 交易量
48%
$430-$440
$0 交易量
48%
$440-$450
$0 交易量
50%
$450-$460
$0 交易量
47%
$460-$470
$0 交易量
48%
>$470
$0 交易量
49%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent strength in Microsoft shares, closing at $450.24 on May 29 after a 5.45% gain fueled by AI infrastructure demand and sector momentum, has centered trader focus around the mid-$400s for the June 1–5 period. With implied probabilities tightly clustered between 45.5% and 48.5% across bins from below $380 to above $470, market-implied odds reflect elevated short-term uncertainty and limited catalysts ahead of the July earnings release. Macro factors including Treasury yields, broader equity volatility, and ongoing AI spending trends could shift the outcome, as traders weigh the stock’s recent rebound against its year-to-date performance near flat levels.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： May 29, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$1结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 6:02 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent strength in Microsoft shares, closing at $450.24 on May 29 after a 5.45% gain fueled by AI infrastructure demand and sector momentum, has centered trader focus around the mid-$400s for the June 1–5 period. With implied probabilities tightly clustered between 45.5% and 48.5% across bins from below $380 to above $470, market-implied odds reflect elevated short-term uncertainty and limited catalysts ahead of the July earnings release. Macro factors including Treasury yields, broader equity volatility, and ongoing AI spending trends could shift the outcome, as traders weigh the stock’s recent rebound against its year-to-date performance near flat levels.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$1结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 6:02 PM ETRecent strength in Microsoft shares, closing at $450.24 on May 29 after a 5.45% gain fueled by AI infrastructure demand and sector momentum, has centered trader focus around the mid-$400s for the June 1–5 period. With implied probabilities tightly clustered between 45.5% and 48.5% across bins from below $380 to above $470, market-implied odds reflect elevated short-term uncertainty and limited catalysts ahead of the July earnings release. Macro factors including Treasury yields, broader equity volatility, and ongoing AI spending trends could shift the outcome, as traders weigh the stock’s recent rebound against its year-to-date performance near flat levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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