Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed Thursday, April 2, at $373.46—firmly within the $370-$380 range commanding 99.8% market-implied probability—with just one trading session left before the week-of-March-30 resolution on Friday's close. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, stems from a 4% rebound over the past week from March 30's $358.96 low amid elevated average daily volume exceeding 35 million shares, buoyed by announcements of $10 billion in AI data center investments in Japan and Southeast Asia offsetting earlier capex concerns. Muted intraday volatility (recent highs near $374, lows $364) and absent major catalysts reinforce stability. Realistic challenges include a late selloff on broader tech rotation or oil price spikes pushing below $370, or upside surprises breaching $380.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$370-$380 99.6%
>$410 <1%
$360-$370 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$47,385 交易量
$47,385 交易量
2026-04-03
<$320
<1%
$320-$330
<1%
$330-$340
<1%
$340-$350
1%
$350-$360
<1%
$360-$370
1%
$370-$380
100%
$380-$390
<1%
390-400美元
<1%
400-410美元
<1%
>$410
1%
$370-$380 99.6%
>$410 <1%
$360-$370 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$47,385 交易量
$47,385 交易量
2026-04-03
<$320
$3,902 交易量
<1%
$320-$330
$1,206 交易量
<1%
$330-$340
$1,116 交易量
<1%
$340-$350
$2,062 交易量
1%
$350-$360
$6,151 交易量
<1%
$360-$370
$11,794 交易量
1%
$370-$380
$11,354 交易量
100%
$380-$390
$3,644 交易量
<1%
390-400美元
$1,268 交易量
<1%
400-410美元
$3,762 交易量
<1%
>$410
$1,126 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed Thursday, April 2, at $373.46—firmly within the $370-$380 range commanding 99.8% market-implied probability—with just one trading session left before the week-of-March-30 resolution on Friday's close. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, stems from a 4% rebound over the past week from March 30's $358.96 low amid elevated average daily volume exceeding 35 million shares, buoyed by announcements of $10 billion in AI data center investments in Japan and Southeast Asia offsetting earlier capex concerns. Muted intraday volatility (recent highs near $374, lows $364) and absent major catalysts reinforce stability. Realistic challenges include a late selloff on broader tech rotation or oil price spikes pushing below $370, or upside surprises breaching $380.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
交易量
$47,385结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed Thursday, April 2, at $373.46—firmly within the $370-$380 range commanding 99.8% market-implied probability—with just one trading session left before the week-of-March-30 resolution on Friday's close. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, stems from a 4% rebound over the past week from March 30's $358.96 low amid elevated average daily volume exceeding 35 million shares, buoyed by announcements of $10 billion in AI data center investments in Japan and Southeast Asia offsetting earlier capex concerns. Muted intraday volatility (recent highs near $374, lows $364) and absent major catalysts reinforce stability. Realistic challenges include a late selloff on broader tech rotation or oil price spikes pushing below $370, or upside surprises breaching $380.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$47,385结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETMicrosoft (MSFT) shares closed Thursday, April 2, at $373.46—firmly within the $370-$380 range commanding 99.8% market-implied probability—with just one trading session left before the week-of-March-30 resolution on Friday's close. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, stems from a 4% rebound over the past week from March 30's $358.96 low amid elevated average daily volume exceeding 35 million shares, buoyed by announcements of $10 billion in AI data center investments in Japan and Southeast Asia offsetting earlier capex concerns. Muted intraday volatility (recent highs near $374, lows $364) and absent major catalysts reinforce stability. Realistic challenges include a late selloff on broader tech rotation or oil price spikes pushing below $370, or upside surprises breaching $380.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题