Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.8% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of March 30, 2026—ending Friday, April 4—in the $370-$380 range, anchored by the stock's April 2 close at $373.46 amid stabilizing trading volume after a volatile Q1 that saw a 23% plunge, the worst since 2008. This positioning reflects a rebound from March 30's $358.96 low, driven by broader tech sector recovery and post-earnings momentum from January's FY26 Q2 beat ($4.14 EPS versus $3.91 expected), with low intraday swings (April 1 range: $368.20-$373.99) signaling subdued near-term volatility. Realistic challenges include a sharp macroeconomic reaction to Thursday's data releases or Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, potentially breaching $370 support or $380 resistance if risk appetite shifts abruptly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$370-$380 97.6%
$350-$360 <1%
$360-$370 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$41,578 交易量
$41,578 交易量
2026-04-03
<$320
<1%
$320-$330
<1%
$330-$340
<1%
$340-$350
1%
$350-$360
1%
$360-$370
1%
$370-$380
98%
$380-$390
<1%
390-400美元
<1%
400-410美元
<1%
>$410
<1%
$370-$380 97.6%
$350-$360 <1%
$360-$370 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$41,578 交易量
$41,578 交易量
2026-04-03
<$320
$2,777 交易量
<1%
$320-$330
$1,206 交易量
<1%
$330-$340
$1,116 交易量
<1%
$340-$350
$2,062 交易量
1%
$350-$360
$5,001 交易量
1%
$360-$370
$10,692 交易量
1%
$370-$380
$9,219 交易量
98%
$380-$390
$3,644 交易量
<1%
390-400美元
$1,268 交易量
<1%
400-410美元
$3,487 交易量
<1%
>$410
$1,106 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.8% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of March 30, 2026—ending Friday, April 4—in the $370-$380 range, anchored by the stock's April 2 close at $373.46 amid stabilizing trading volume after a volatile Q1 that saw a 23% plunge, the worst since 2008. This positioning reflects a rebound from March 30's $358.96 low, driven by broader tech sector recovery and post-earnings momentum from January's FY26 Q2 beat ($4.14 EPS versus $3.91 expected), with low intraday swings (April 1 range: $368.20-$373.99) signaling subdued near-term volatility. Realistic challenges include a sharp macroeconomic reaction to Thursday's data releases or Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, potentially breaching $370 support or $380 resistance if risk appetite shifts abruptly.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
交易量
$41,578结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.8% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of March 30, 2026—ending Friday, April 4—in the $370-$380 range, anchored by the stock's April 2 close at $373.46 amid stabilizing trading volume after a volatile Q1 that saw a 23% plunge, the worst since 2008. This positioning reflects a rebound from March 30's $358.96 low, driven by broader tech sector recovery and post-earnings momentum from January's FY26 Q2 beat ($4.14 EPS versus $3.91 expected), with low intraday swings (April 1 range: $368.20-$373.99) signaling subdued near-term volatility. Realistic challenges include a sharp macroeconomic reaction to Thursday's data releases or Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, potentially breaching $370 support or $380 resistance if risk appetite shifts abruptly.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$41,578结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.8% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of March 30, 2026—ending Friday, April 4—in the $370-$380 range, anchored by the stock's April 2 close at $373.46 amid stabilizing trading volume after a volatile Q1 that saw a 23% plunge, the worst since 2008. This positioning reflects a rebound from March 30's $358.96 low, driven by broader tech sector recovery and post-earnings momentum from January's FY26 Q2 beat ($4.14 EPS versus $3.91 expected), with low intraday swings (April 1 range: $368.20-$373.99) signaling subdued near-term volatility. Realistic challenges include a sharp macroeconomic reaction to Thursday's data releases or Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, potentially breaching $370 support or $380 resistance if risk appetite shifts abruptly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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