Paul Skenes leads trader consensus at 27% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, but a tight cluster with Mitch Keller (23%) and prospect Jacob Misiorowski (21%) reflects surging optimism around young power arms amid uncertain veteran health. Skenes' electric 2024 debut (1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 innings) positions the Pirates ace as the frontrunner, yet Keller's durability (177 innings, sub-4.00 ERA) and Misiorowski's triple-digit fastball in the Brewers system keep the race bunched. Cristopher Sanchez's breakout (3.32 ERA over 181 frames) adds Phillies depth, while injury histories for Chris Sale, Zack Wheeler, and Spencer Strider cap their shares below 10%, underscoring the market's focus on sustained innings and prime-age dominance in a wide-open NL pitching landscape.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于保罗·斯肯斯 23%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯 16%
山本由伸 9%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔 6.0%
保罗·斯肯斯
27%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯
16%
山本由伸
8%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔
6%
斯宾塞·斯特莱德
6%
克里斯·塞尔
9%
布雷克·斯内尔
5%
亨特·格林
5%
泰勒·格拉斯诺
5%
尼克·洛多洛
5%
尤里·佩雷斯
6%
扎克·惠勒
7%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基
21%
洛根·韦布
2%
大谷翔平
7%
诺兰·麦克林
6%
耶稣·卢扎多
6%
尼克·皮韦塔
6%
布兰登·伍德拉夫
6%
迈克尔·金
1%
斯宾塞·施韦伦巴赫
1%
米奇·凯勒
23%
保罗·斯肯斯 23%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯 16%
山本由伸 9%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔 6.0%
保罗·斯肯斯
27%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯
16%
山本由伸
8%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔
6%
斯宾塞·斯特莱德
6%
克里斯·塞尔
9%
布雷克·斯内尔
5%
亨特·格林
5%
泰勒·格拉斯诺
5%
尼克·洛多洛
5%
尤里·佩雷斯
6%
扎克·惠勒
7%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基
21%
洛根·韦布
2%
大谷翔平
7%
诺兰·麦克林
6%
耶稣·卢扎多
6%
尼克·皮韦塔
6%
布兰登·伍德拉夫
6%
迈克尔·金
1%
斯宾塞·施韦伦巴赫
1%
米奇·凯勒
23%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes leads trader consensus at 27% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, but a tight cluster with Mitch Keller (23%) and prospect Jacob Misiorowski (21%) reflects surging optimism around young power arms amid uncertain veteran health. Skenes' electric 2024 debut (1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 innings) positions the Pirates ace as the frontrunner, yet Keller's durability (177 innings, sub-4.00 ERA) and Misiorowski's triple-digit fastball in the Brewers system keep the race bunched. Cristopher Sanchez's breakout (3.32 ERA over 181 frames) adds Phillies depth, while injury histories for Chris Sale, Zack Wheeler, and Spencer Strider cap their shares below 10%, underscoring the market's focus on sustained innings and prime-age dominance in a wide-open NL pitching landscape.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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