With the 2026 MLB season barely a week old, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tightly contested AL Hank Aaron Award race, where Bobby Witt Jr. holds a slim edge at 19.5% implied probability thanks to his elite contact skills and major-league-leading 184 hits in 2025, complemented by 29 home runs. Aaron Judge, the defending winner with 53 homers and the AL batting title last year, trails closely at 15.8%, while Gunnar Henderson, Yordan Alvarez, and Cal Raleigh—fresh off a record 60 catcher home runs and 125 RBIs—cluster nearby, signaling parity among proven sluggers. Early results show Judge with three homers amid a slow-start field, but the 162-game schedule, injury risks, and matchup variability keep the field bunched, as no one has separated in this small sample.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Gunnar Henderson 28%
约尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯 27%
Bobby Witt Jr. 20%
卡尔·罗利 16%
Gunnar Henderson
28%
约尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯
27%
Bobby Witt Jr.
20%
卡尔·罗利
15%
尼克·库尔茨
8%
胡里奥·罗德里格斯
7%
弗拉基米尔·格雷罗二世
7%
何塞·拉米雷斯
7%
亚伦·贾奇
16%
科里·西格
5%
Gunnar Henderson 28%
约尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯 27%
Bobby Witt Jr. 20%
卡尔·罗利 16%
Gunnar Henderson
28%
约尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯
27%
Bobby Witt Jr.
20%
卡尔·罗利
15%
尼克·库尔茨
8%
胡里奥·罗德里格斯
7%
弗拉基米尔·格雷罗二世
7%
何塞·拉米雷斯
7%
亚伦·贾奇
16%
科里·西格
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 MLB season barely a week old, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tightly contested AL Hank Aaron Award race, where Bobby Witt Jr. holds a slim edge at 19.5% implied probability thanks to his elite contact skills and major-league-leading 184 hits in 2025, complemented by 29 home runs. Aaron Judge, the defending winner with 53 homers and the AL batting title last year, trails closely at 15.8%, while Gunnar Henderson, Yordan Alvarez, and Cal Raleigh—fresh off a record 60 catcher home runs and 125 RBIs—cluster nearby, signaling parity among proven sluggers. Early results show Judge with three homers amid a slow-start field, but the 162-game schedule, injury risks, and matchup variability keep the field bunched, as no one has separated in this small sample.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题