President Javier Milei's strong midterm election gains in October 2025 bolstered La Libertad Avanza's seats in Congress, enabling passage of the 2026 budget in December and reducing impeachment risks despite his congressional minority. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects this legislative foothold, as opposition lacks the two-thirds Senate supermajority needed for removal under Argentina's constitution. Recent approval dips to 36-37% in March 2026, driven by rising unemployment and lingering corruption allegations tied to his sister and the 2025 Libra cryptocurrency scandal, have dented popularity but failed to spark viable no-confidence votes or resignation pressures. No major catalysts in the past 30 days signal early exit before his December 2027 term end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Javier Milei's strong midterm election gains in October 2025 bolstered La Libertad Avanza's seats in Congress, enabling passage of the 2026 budget in December and reducing impeachment risks despite his congressional minority. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects this legislative foothold, as opposition lacks the two-thirds Senate supermajority needed for removal under Argentina's constitution. Recent approval dips to 36-37% in March 2026, driven by rising unemployment and lingering corruption allegations tied to his sister and the 2025 Libra cryptocurrency scandal, have dented popularity but failed to spark viable no-confidence votes or resignation pressures. No major catalysts in the past 30 days signal early exit before his December 2027 term end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
交易量
$9,467结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Javier Milei's strong midterm election gains in October 2025 bolstered La Libertad Avanza's seats in Congress, enabling passage of the 2026 budget in December and reducing impeachment risks despite his congressional minority. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects this legislative foothold, as opposition lacks the two-thirds Senate supermajority needed for removal under Argentina's constitution. Recent approval dips to 36-37% in March 2026, driven by rising unemployment and lingering corruption allegations tied to his sister and the 2025 Libra cryptocurrency scandal, have dented popularity but failed to spark viable no-confidence votes or resignation pressures. No major catalysts in the past 30 days signal early exit before his December 2027 term end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$9,467结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Javier Milei's strong midterm election gains in October 2025 bolstered La Libertad Avanza's seats in Congress, enabling passage of the 2026 budget in December and reducing impeachment risks despite his congressional minority. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects this legislative foothold, as opposition lacks the two-thirds Senate supermajority needed for removal under Argentina's constitution. Recent approval dips to 36-37% in March 2026, driven by rising unemployment and lingering corruption allegations tied to his sister and the 2025 Libra cryptocurrency scandal, have dented popularity but failed to spark viable no-confidence votes or resignation pressures. No major catalysts in the past 30 days signal early exit before his December 2027 term end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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