Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Michael" second-weekend box office market clusters tightly around $45-55 million, with 50-55m (36.5%) edging >55m (35.0%) and 45-50m (31.5%), reflecting uncertainty in the Jaafar Jackson-starring Michael Jackson biopic's legs after its record-shattering $97 million domestic opening despite poor critical reception. Strong word-of-mouth fueled impressive post-weekend holds—including a record $11.1 million Tuesday, the fourth-best April Tuesday for a live-action film—suggesting audience enthusiasm could limit drops to 45-50%, akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory. However, low review scores and emerging competition like The Devil Wears Prada 2 may cap upside, with Friday tracking and presales pivotal swing factors before Sunday's final tallies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于“迈克尔”第二周末票房
“迈克尔”第二周末票房
4500万-5000万 48%
5000万-5500万 37%
>5500万 30%
4000万-4500万 24%
最新
最新
2026-05-04
低于3500万
7%
3500万-4000万
10%
4000万-4500万
24%
4500万-5000万
31%
5000万-5500万
37%
>5500万
35%
4500万-5000万 48%
5000万-5500万 37%
>5500万 30%
4000万-4500万 24%
最新
最新
2026-05-04
低于3500万
$0 交易量
7%
3500万-4000万
$0 交易量
10%
4000万-4500万
$100 交易量
24%
4500万-5000万
$4 交易量
31%
5000万-5500万
$0 交易量
37%
>5500万
$50 交易量
35%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Michael" second-weekend box office market clusters tightly around $45-55 million, with 50-55m (36.5%) edging >55m (35.0%) and 45-50m (31.5%), reflecting uncertainty in the Jaafar Jackson-starring Michael Jackson biopic's legs after its record-shattering $97 million domestic opening despite poor critical reception. Strong word-of-mouth fueled impressive post-weekend holds—including a record $11.1 million Tuesday, the fourth-best April Tuesday for a live-action film—suggesting audience enthusiasm could limit drops to 45-50%, akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory. However, low review scores and emerging competition like The Devil Wears Prada 2 may cap upside, with Friday tracking and presales pivotal swing factors before Sunday's final tallies.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
交易量
$154结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Michael" second-weekend box office market clusters tightly around $45-55 million, with 50-55m (36.5%) edging >55m (35.0%) and 45-50m (31.5%), reflecting uncertainty in the Jaafar Jackson-starring Michael Jackson biopic's legs after its record-shattering $97 million domestic opening despite poor critical reception. Strong word-of-mouth fueled impressive post-weekend holds—including a record $11.1 million Tuesday, the fourth-best April Tuesday for a live-action film—suggesting audience enthusiasm could limit drops to 45-50%, akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory. However, low review scores and emerging competition like The Devil Wears Prada 2 may cap upside, with Friday tracking and presales pivotal swing factors before Sunday's final tallies.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$154结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Michael" second-weekend box office market clusters tightly around $45-55 million, with 50-55m (36.5%) edging >55m (35.0%) and 45-50m (31.5%), reflecting uncertainty in the Jaafar Jackson-starring Michael Jackson biopic's legs after its record-shattering $97 million domestic opening despite poor critical reception. Strong word-of-mouth fueled impressive post-weekend holds—including a record $11.1 million Tuesday, the fourth-best April Tuesday for a live-action film—suggesting audience enthusiasm could limit drops to 45-50%, akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory. However, low review scores and emerging competition like The Devil Wears Prada 2 may cap upside, with Friday tracking and presales pivotal swing factors before Sunday's final tallies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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