Recent observational data from NOAA and other monitoring agencies show May 2026 global mean surface temperatures tracking toward a 1.10–1.14 °C increase above pre-industrial levels, supported by sustained high baseline warmth from prior El Niño influences and steady anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing. Climate indices indicate ENSO-neutral conditions developing, which have moderated sea-surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific and reduced the likelihood of extreme spikes. This range aligns with model consensus and historical May averages adjusted for the current warming trend, while lower or higher bins reflect greater uncertainty in final monthly averaging and potential late-month cooling or warming shifts. Updated agency reports expected in early June will finalize the precise anomaly for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC 54%
<1.10ºC 22%
1.15–1.19ºC 7%
1.20–1.24ºC 1.8%
$85,840 交易量
$85,840 交易量
2026-06-10
<1.10ºC
22%
1.10–1.14ºC
54%
1.15–1.19ºC
7%
1.20–1.24ºC
2%
1.25–1.29ºC
1%
>1.29ºC
<1%
1.10–1.14ºC 54%
<1.10ºC 22%
1.15–1.19ºC 7%
1.20–1.24ºC 1.8%
$85,840 交易量
$85,840 交易量
2026-06-10
<1.10ºC
$27,848 交易量
22%
1.10–1.14ºC
$8,596 交易量
54%
1.15–1.19ºC
$15,036 交易量
7%
1.20–1.24ºC
$11,552 交易量
2%
1.25–1.29ºC
$9,978 交易量
1%
>1.29ºC
$12,831 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent observational data from NOAA and other monitoring agencies show May 2026 global mean surface temperatures tracking toward a 1.10–1.14 °C increase above pre-industrial levels, supported by sustained high baseline warmth from prior El Niño influences and steady anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing. Climate indices indicate ENSO-neutral conditions developing, which have moderated sea-surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific and reduced the likelihood of extreme spikes. This range aligns with model consensus and historical May averages adjusted for the current warming trend, while lower or higher bins reflect greater uncertainty in final monthly averaging and potential late-month cooling or warming shifts. Updated agency reports expected in early June will finalize the precise anomaly for market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
交易量
$85,840结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent observational data from NOAA and other monitoring agencies show May 2026 global mean surface temperatures tracking toward a 1.10–1.14 °C increase above pre-industrial levels, supported by sustained high baseline warmth from prior El Niño influences and steady anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing. Climate indices indicate ENSO-neutral conditions developing, which have moderated sea-surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific and reduced the likelihood of extreme spikes. This range aligns with model consensus and historical May averages adjusted for the current warming trend, while lower or higher bins reflect greater uncertainty in final monthly averaging and potential late-month cooling or warming shifts. Updated agency reports expected in early June will finalize the precise anomaly for market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$85,840结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from NOAA and other monitoring agencies show May 2026 global mean surface temperatures tracking toward a 1.10–1.14 °C increase above pre-industrial levels, supported by sustained high baseline warmth from prior El Niño influences and steady anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing. Climate indices indicate ENSO-neutral conditions developing, which have moderated sea-surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific and reduced the likelihood of extreme spikes. This range aligns with model consensus and historical May averages adjusted for the current warming trend, while lower or higher bins reflect greater uncertainty in final monthly averaging and potential late-month cooling or warming shifts. Updated agency reports expected in early June will finalize the precise anomaly for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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