$4,638,785 交易量
$4,638,785 交易量
Dec 31, 2025
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada wins a majority of seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada wins a majority of seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada wins a majority of seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
创建时间: Mar 20, 2025, 3:27 PM ET
交易量
$4,638,785结束日期
Apr 28, 2025创建时间
Mar 20, 2025, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
$4,638,785 交易量
$4,638,785 交易量
Dec 31, 2025
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada wins a majority of seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada wins a majority of seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada wins a majority of seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
交易量
$4,638,785结束日期
Dec 31, 2025创建时间
Mar 20, 2025, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
Frequently Asked Questions
"Liberals win majority in Canadian election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Liberals win majority in Canadian election?" has generated $4.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Liberals win majority in Canadian election?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Liberals win majority in Canadian election?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Liberals win majority in Canadian election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
Frequently Asked Questions