Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Kanye West's 'Bully' under 150k first-week units at 73% implied probability, driven by the latest Hits Daily Double projections pegging it at 117k total album equivalents—including just 20k pure sales—for a likely #2 Billboard 200 debut behind BTS's dominant 'Arirang.' This marks a sharp drop from pre-release hype of 250k–275k, as post-launch tracking revealed weaker physical sales and tempered streaming despite a solid 33M+ Spotify day-one figure. Ye's polarizing rollout and competition from K-pop juggernauts have cooled momentum, though final updates before chart lock could shift trajectories amid his history of surprise surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Kanye West “欺负”第一周专辑销售? (下限)
Kanye West “欺负”第一周专辑销售? (下限)
少于15万 72%
150k-175k 20%
17.5万-20万 6.1%
22.5万-25万 2.4%
$32,443 交易量
$32,443 交易量
少于15万
72%
150k-175k
20%
17.5万-20万
6%
20万-22.5万
1%
22.5万-25万
2%
25万-27.5万
1%
27.5万-30万
1%
30万+
1%
少于15万 72%
150k-175k 20%
17.5万-20万 6.1%
22.5万-25万 2.4%
$32,443 交易量
$32,443 交易量
少于15万
72%
150k-175k
20%
17.5万-20万
6%
20万-22.5万
1%
22.5万-25万
2%
25万-27.5万
1%
27.5万-30万
1%
30万+
1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Kanye West's 'Bully' under 150k first-week units at 73% implied probability, driven by the latest Hits Daily Double projections pegging it at 117k total album equivalents—including just 20k pure sales—for a likely #2 Billboard 200 debut behind BTS's dominant 'Arirang.' This marks a sharp drop from pre-release hype of 250k–275k, as post-launch tracking revealed weaker physical sales and tempered streaming despite a solid 33M+ Spotify day-one figure. Ye's polarizing rollout and competition from K-pop juggernauts have cooled momentum, though final updates before chart lock could shift trajectories amid his history of surprise surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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