Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state in Senate contests underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the party's nominee. Incumbent Dick Durbin retired ahead of the cycle, clearing the way for Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton to secure the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and party infrastructure. She faces Republican Don Tracy, a former state party chair, in November. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the party's unbroken hold on the seat since 2016 and Republicans' lack of a Senate victory in the state since 2010. A late national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the margin, though such shifts have rarely overcome Illinois's structural partisan balance in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,944 交易量
$24,944 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$24,944 交易量
$24,944 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$12,804 交易量
96%
共和党
$12,139 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state in Senate contests underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the party's nominee. Incumbent Dick Durbin retired ahead of the cycle, clearing the way for Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton to secure the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and party infrastructure. She faces Republican Don Tracy, a former state party chair, in November. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the party's unbroken hold on the seat since 2016 and Republicans' lack of a Senate victory in the state since 2010. A late national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the margin, though such shifts have rarely overcome Illinois's structural partisan balance in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$24,944结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state in Senate contests underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the party's nominee. Incumbent Dick Durbin retired ahead of the cycle, clearing the way for Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton to secure the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and party infrastructure. She faces Republican Don Tracy, a former state party chair, in November. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the party's unbroken hold on the seat since 2016 and Republicans' lack of a Senate victory in the state since 2010. A late national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the margin, though such shifts have rarely overcome Illinois's structural partisan balance in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,944结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state in Senate contests underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the party's nominee. Incumbent Dick Durbin retired ahead of the cycle, clearing the way for Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton to secure the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and party infrastructure. She faces Republican Don Tracy, a former state party chair, in November. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the party's unbroken hold on the seat since 2016 and Republicans' lack of a Senate victory in the state since 2010. A late national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the margin, though such shifts have rarely overcome Illinois's structural partisan balance in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题