Illinois's deep Democratic lean and the March 2026 primary outcome have anchored trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold on the open Senate seat. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the nomination with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly, positioning her against Republican nominee Don Tracy in a state where no GOP candidate has won statewide office since 2014. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major scandals, significant health developments for either candidate, or unexpected national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,944 交易量
$24,944 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$24,944 交易量
$24,944 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$12,804 交易量
95%
共和党
$12,139 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's deep Democratic lean and the March 2026 primary outcome have anchored trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold on the open Senate seat. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the nomination with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly, positioning her against Republican nominee Don Tracy in a state where no GOP candidate has won statewide office since 2014. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major scandals, significant health developments for either candidate, or unexpected national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$24,944结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's deep Democratic lean and the March 2026 primary outcome have anchored trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold on the open Senate seat. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the nomination with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly, positioning her against Republican nominee Don Tracy in a state where no GOP candidate has won statewide office since 2014. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major scandals, significant health developments for either candidate, or unexpected national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,944结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's deep Democratic lean and the March 2026 primary outcome have anchored trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold on the open Senate seat. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the nomination with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly, positioning her against Republican nominee Don Tracy in a state where no GOP candidate has won statewide office since 2014. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major scandals, significant health developments for either candidate, or unexpected national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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