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Alex Honnold需要多长时间才能解放台北101 ?

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Alex Honnold需要多长时间才能解放台北101 ?

1小时30分 - 1小时45分 100.0%

<1小时 <1%

1小时 - 1小时15分钟 <1%

1 小时 15 分 - 1 小时 30 分 <1%

Polymarket

$4,570,345 交易量

1小时30分 - 1小时45分 100.0%

<1小时 <1%

1小时 - 1小时15分钟 <1%

1 小时 15 分 - 1 小时 30 分 <1%

Polymarket

$4,570,345 交易量

<1小时

$439,402 交易量

1小时 - 1小时15分钟

$515,081 交易量

1 小时 15 分 - 1 小时 30 分

$1,006,123 交易量

1小时30分 - 1小时45分

$548,452 交易量

1小时45分钟 - 2小时

$389,059 交易量

2小时 - 2小时15分

$306,192 交易量

2小时15分 - 2小时30分

$285,135 交易量

2小时30分+

$339,926 交易量

未完成

$740,975 交易量

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo.

Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available).

Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire.

If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket.

If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".

The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,570,345
结束日期
Jan 23, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 7:53 PM ET
Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo. Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available). Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire. If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alex Honnold需要多长时间才能解放台北101 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1小时30分 - 1小时45分" at 100%, followed by "<1小时" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alex Honnold需要多长时间才能解放台北101 ?" has generated $4.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alex Honnold需要多长时间才能解放台北101 ?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alex Honnold需要多长时间才能解放台北101 ?" is "1小时30分 - 1小时45分" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<1小时" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

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