Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities clustering around 76-81°F due to divergent guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The National Weather Service projects highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Southeast, fostering above-normal spring warmth per NOAA's seasonal outlook, though a weak cold front approaching Friday night introduces variability in cloud cover, pre-frontal showers (40-60% chance), and timing that could cap peaks at 76-77°F or allow 80-81°F with sunnier breaks. Differentiating factors include model spreads in 850 hPa temperatures (around 15-18°C), boundary-layer mixing from light southerly winds, and diurnal heating potential amid dry antecedent conditions; new 12Z runs and NWS updates expected today will refine this.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 3?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 3?
82°F or higher 26%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
27%
82°F or higher
21%
82°F or higher 26%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
27%
82°F or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities clustering around 76-81°F due to divergent guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The National Weather Service projects highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Southeast, fostering above-normal spring warmth per NOAA's seasonal outlook, though a weak cold front approaching Friday night introduces variability in cloud cover, pre-frontal showers (40-60% chance), and timing that could cap peaks at 76-77°F or allow 80-81°F with sunnier breaks. Differentiating factors include model spreads in 850 hPa temperatures (around 15-18°C), boundary-layer mixing from light southerly winds, and diurnal heating potential amid dry antecedent conditions; new 12Z runs and NWS updates expected today will refine this.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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