Spain's overwhelming 81% implied probability to win Group H stems from their elite status as recent Euro champions with a deep, youthful squad featuring stars like Lamine Yamal and a carefully managed Rodri, bolstered by dominant March friendlies including a 3-0 victory over Serbia where Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice. Uruguay holds 15% as the clear second-favorite, thanks to Marcelo Bielsa's high-intensity style, Federico Valverde's fitness, and a gritty 1-1 draw against England, positioning them ahead despite CONMEBOL competition rigor. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and Cape Verde (2.1%) trail with long-shot upset potential—Saudi drawing on 2022 Argentina shock but hampered by a 0-4 friendly loss to Iraq, while Cape Verde's debutant energy showed in qualifiers but faltered 4-2 versus Chile—reflecting trader consensus on form, rankings, and matchup dynamics post-final draw.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于西班牙 81%
乌拉圭 15%
沙特阿拉伯 2.4%
佛得角 2.1%
$70,761 交易量
$70,761 交易量
2026-06-27
西班牙
81%
乌拉圭
15%
沙特阿拉伯
2%
佛得角
2%
西班牙 81%
乌拉圭 15%
沙特阿拉伯 2.4%
佛得角 2.1%
$70,761 交易量
$70,761 交易量
2026-06-27
西班牙
$8,588 交易量
81%
乌拉圭
$3,089 交易量
15%
沙特阿拉伯
$4,458 交易量
2%
佛得角
$54,626 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's overwhelming 81% implied probability to win Group H stems from their elite status as recent Euro champions with a deep, youthful squad featuring stars like Lamine Yamal and a carefully managed Rodri, bolstered by dominant March friendlies including a 3-0 victory over Serbia where Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice. Uruguay holds 15% as the clear second-favorite, thanks to Marcelo Bielsa's high-intensity style, Federico Valverde's fitness, and a gritty 1-1 draw against England, positioning them ahead despite CONMEBOL competition rigor. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and Cape Verde (2.1%) trail with long-shot upset potential—Saudi drawing on 2022 Argentina shock but hampered by a 0-4 friendly loss to Iraq, while Cape Verde's debutant energy showed in qualifiers but faltered 4-2 versus Chile—reflecting trader consensus on form, rankings, and matchup dynamics post-final draw.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
交易量
$70,761结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's overwhelming 81% implied probability to win Group H stems from their elite status as recent Euro champions with a deep, youthful squad featuring stars like Lamine Yamal and a carefully managed Rodri, bolstered by dominant March friendlies including a 3-0 victory over Serbia where Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice. Uruguay holds 15% as the clear second-favorite, thanks to Marcelo Bielsa's high-intensity style, Federico Valverde's fitness, and a gritty 1-1 draw against England, positioning them ahead despite CONMEBOL competition rigor. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and Cape Verde (2.1%) trail with long-shot upset potential—Saudi drawing on 2022 Argentina shock but hampered by a 0-4 friendly loss to Iraq, while Cape Verde's debutant energy showed in qualifiers but faltered 4-2 versus Chile—reflecting trader consensus on form, rankings, and matchup dynamics post-final draw.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$70,761结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's overwhelming 81% implied probability to win Group H stems from their elite status as recent Euro champions with a deep, youthful squad featuring stars like Lamine Yamal and a carefully managed Rodri, bolstered by dominant March friendlies including a 3-0 victory over Serbia where Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice. Uruguay holds 15% as the clear second-favorite, thanks to Marcelo Bielsa's high-intensity style, Federico Valverde's fitness, and a gritty 1-1 draw against England, positioning them ahead despite CONMEBOL competition rigor. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and Cape Verde (2.1%) trail with long-shot upset potential—Saudi drawing on 2022 Argentina shock but hampered by a 0-4 friendly loss to Iraq, while Cape Verde's debutant energy showed in qualifiers but faltered 4-2 versus Chile—reflecting trader consensus on form, rankings, and matchup dynamics post-final draw.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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