Turkey's qualification via UEFA Playoff Path C victory two days ago has locked in a fiercely competitive Group D alongside hosts USA, Paraguay, and Australia, with traders pricing USA at a narrow 40.5% implied probability to win the group over the bundled playoff winner at 38%. The USMNT benefits from home advantage across domestic venues and FIFA ranking of 16th, but recent friendlies have exposed vulnerabilities, allowing Turkey's momentum (22nd-ranked) and Paraguay's gritty CONMEBOL campaign (40th) to close the gap. Australia's lower 8.1% reflects their 27th ranking and historical struggles in major tournaments, heightening the drama in this evenly matched pool where top-two finishers advance alongside best third-placers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于美国 41%
科索沃/罗马尼亚/斯洛伐克/土耳其 38%
巴拉圭 16%
澳大利亚 8.1%
$14,921 交易量
$14,921 交易量
2026-06-27
美国
41%
科索沃/罗马尼亚/斯洛伐克/土耳其
38%
巴拉圭
16%
澳大利亚
8%
美国 41%
科索沃/罗马尼亚/斯洛伐克/土耳其 38%
巴拉圭 16%
澳大利亚 8.1%
$14,921 交易量
$14,921 交易量
2026-06-27
美国
$5,293 交易量
41%
科索沃/罗马尼亚/斯洛伐克/土耳其
$3,649 交易量
38%
巴拉圭
$3,278 交易量
16%
澳大利亚
$2,701 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's qualification via UEFA Playoff Path C victory two days ago has locked in a fiercely competitive Group D alongside hosts USA, Paraguay, and Australia, with traders pricing USA at a narrow 40.5% implied probability to win the group over the bundled playoff winner at 38%. The USMNT benefits from home advantage across domestic venues and FIFA ranking of 16th, but recent friendlies have exposed vulnerabilities, allowing Turkey's momentum (22nd-ranked) and Paraguay's gritty CONMEBOL campaign (40th) to close the gap. Australia's lower 8.1% reflects their 27th ranking and historical struggles in major tournaments, heightening the drama in this evenly matched pool where top-two finishers advance alongside best third-placers.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
交易量
$14,921结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's qualification via UEFA Playoff Path C victory two days ago has locked in a fiercely competitive Group D alongside hosts USA, Paraguay, and Australia, with traders pricing USA at a narrow 40.5% implied probability to win the group over the bundled playoff winner at 38%. The USMNT benefits from home advantage across domestic venues and FIFA ranking of 16th, but recent friendlies have exposed vulnerabilities, allowing Turkey's momentum (22nd-ranked) and Paraguay's gritty CONMEBOL campaign (40th) to close the gap. Australia's lower 8.1% reflects their 27th ranking and historical struggles in major tournaments, heightening the drama in this evenly matched pool where top-two finishers advance alongside best third-placers.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,921结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Turkey's qualification via UEFA Playoff Path C victory two days ago has locked in a fiercely competitive Group D alongside hosts USA, Paraguay, and Australia, with traders pricing USA at a narrow 40.5% implied probability to win the group over the bundled playoff winner at 38%. The USMNT benefits from home advantage across domestic venues and FIFA ranking of 16th, but recent friendlies have exposed vulnerabilities, allowing Turkey's momentum (22nd-ranked) and Paraguay's gritty CONMEBOL campaign (40th) to close the gap. Australia's lower 8.1% reflects their 27th ranking and historical struggles in major tournaments, heightening the drama in this evenly matched pool where top-two finishers advance alongside best third-placers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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