George Russell leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability for Japanese Grand Prix victory after topping both FP1 and FP2 sessions at Suzuka, showcasing Mercedes' superior race pace and high-speed cornering strength on the demanding 5.8km circuit. Teammate Andrea Kimi Antonelli's strong P2 in FP1 and solid FP2 performance as a rookie bolsters his 20.5% standing, reflecting Mercedes' one-two lockout potential amid Red Bull's setup struggles that dropped Max Verstappen to P4 overall. Charles Leclerc (7.5%) and Lewis Hamilton (6.5%) trail due to Ferrari's mixed long-run pace and Hamilton's adaptation to the W16, while Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri lurk lower after McLaren's tire degradation concerns in practice. Qualifying later today will be pivotal for grid positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于George Russell 59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 21%
Charles Leclerc 8%
Lewis Hamilton 7%
$564,363 交易量
$564,363 交易量
George Russell
59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
21%
Charles Leclerc
8%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
George Russell 59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 21%
Charles Leclerc 8%
Lewis Hamilton 7%
$564,363 交易量
$564,363 交易量
George Russell
59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
21%
Charles Leclerc
8%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...George Russell leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability for Japanese Grand Prix victory after topping both FP1 and FP2 sessions at Suzuka, showcasing Mercedes' superior race pace and high-speed cornering strength on the demanding 5.8km circuit. Teammate Andrea Kimi Antonelli's strong P2 in FP1 and solid FP2 performance as a rookie bolsters his 20.5% standing, reflecting Mercedes' one-two lockout potential amid Red Bull's setup struggles that dropped Max Verstappen to P4 overall. Charles Leclerc (7.5%) and Lewis Hamilton (6.5%) trail due to Ferrari's mixed long-run pace and Hamilton's adaptation to the W16, while Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri lurk lower after McLaren's tire degradation concerns in practice. Qualifying later today will be pivotal for grid positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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