Market icon

Japanese Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?

Market icon

Japanese Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?

Mercedes 91%

Ferrari 9.8%

Mclaren Mastercard <1%

Racing Bulls <1%

Polymarket

$15,022 交易量

Mercedes 91%

Ferrari 9.8%

Mclaren Mastercard <1%

Racing Bulls <1%

Polymarket

$15,022 交易量

Mercedes

$1,946 交易量

91%

Ferrari

$1,154 交易量

8%

Mclaren Mastercard

$747 交易量

1%

Racing Bulls

$770 交易量

<1%

Alpine

$778 交易量

<1%

Aston Martin

$1,511 交易量

<1%

Williams

$1,949 交易量

<1%

Audi Revolut

$668 交易量

<1%

Cadillac

$1,636 交易量

<1%

Tgr Haas

$578 交易量

<1%

Red Bull

$3,386 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).Mercedes' commanding front-row lockout in qualifying at Suzuka—Kimi Antonelli on pole with a 1:28.778 lap ahead of teammate George Russell—has solidified trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the constructor to claim victory in the Japanese Grand Prix, building on their early-season constructors' lead with 98 points from consistent podiums. Mercedes topped FP1 and FP3 amid McLaren's brief FP2 threat from Oscar Piastri in P3, while Ferrari's Charles Leclerc starts P4 but trails in pace. Challenges include a poor start off the line, multi-car incidents triggering safety cars, superior McLaren race pace on mediums, tire degradation in Suzuka's high-speed sectors, or DNFs from mechanical gremlins, as seen in prior rounds.

Mercedes' commanding front-row lockout in qualifying at Suzuka—Kimi Antonelli on pole with a 1:28.778 lap ahead of teammate George Russell—has solidified trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the constructor to claim victory in the Japanese Grand Prix, building on their early-season constructors' lead with 98 points from consistent podiums. Mercedes topped FP1 and FP3 amid McLaren's brief FP2 threat from Oscar Piastri in P3, while Ferrari's Charles Leclerc starts P4 but trails in pace. Challenges include a poor start off the line, multi-car incidents triggering safety cars, superior McLaren race pace on mediums, tire degradation in Suzuka's high-speed sectors, or DNFs from mechanical gremlins, as seen in prior rounds.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).Mercedes' commanding front-row lockout in qualifying at Suzuka—Kimi Antonelli on pole with a 1:28.778 lap ahead of teammate George Russell—has solidified trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the constructor to claim victory in the Japanese Grand Prix, building on their early-season constructors' lead with 98 points from consistent podiums. Mercedes topped FP1 and FP3 amid McLaren's brief FP2 threat from Oscar Piastri in P3, while Ferrari's Charles Leclerc starts P4 but trails in pace. Challenges include a poor start off the line, multi-car incidents triggering safety cars, superior McLaren race pace on mediums, tire degradation in Suzuka's high-speed sectors, or DNFs from mechanical gremlins, as seen in prior rounds.

Mercedes' commanding front-row lockout in qualifying at Suzuka—Kimi Antonelli on pole with a 1:28.778 lap ahead of teammate George Russell—has solidified trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the constructor to claim victory in the Japanese Grand Prix, building on their early-season constructors' lead with 98 points from consistent podiums. Mercedes topped FP1 and FP3 amid McLaren's brief FP2 threat from Oscar Piastri in P3, while Ferrari's Charles Leclerc starts P4 but trails in pace. Challenges include a poor start off the line, multi-car incidents triggering safety cars, superior McLaren race pace on mediums, tire degradation in Suzuka's high-speed sectors, or DNFs from mechanical gremlins, as seen in prior rounds.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"Japanese Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Mercedes",概率为 91%,其次是"Ferrari",概率为 8%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Japanese Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?"已产生 $15K 的总交易量(自Mar 11, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Japanese Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Japanese Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?"的当前领先者是"Mercedes",概率为 91%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。紧随其后的结果是"Ferrari",概率为 8%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Japanese Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。