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2026年欧洲歌唱大赛：评审团获奖者

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2026年欧洲歌唱大赛：评审团获奖者

澳大利亚 33%

法国 28%

芬兰 13%

丹麦 9%

Polymarket

$597,257 交易量

澳大利亚 33%

法国 28%

芬兰 13%

丹麦 9%

Polymarket

$597,257 交易量

澳大利亚

$9,684 交易量

33%

法国

$9,480 交易量

28%

芬兰

$9,627 交易量

13%

丹麦

$17,095 交易量

9%

捷克

$120,263 交易量

2%

瑞典

$27,460 交易量

2%

马耳他

$91,781 交易量

2%

乌克兰

$3,307 交易量

1%

拉脱维亚

$3,650 交易量

1%

以色列

$13,856 交易量

1%

意大利

$3,757 交易量

1%

克罗地亚

$7,157 交易量

1%

希腊

$28,992 交易量

1%

塞尔维亚

$18,830 交易量

1%

保加利亚

$10,930 交易量

1%

德国

$57,824 交易量

1%

塞浦路斯

$18,732 交易量

1%

英国

$16,270 交易量

1%

奥地利

$43,787 交易量

1%

摩尔多瓦

$23,333 交易量

1%

黑山

$12,529 交易量

1%

葡萄牙

$3,270 交易量

1%

阿尔巴尼亚

$3,345 交易量

1%

佐治亚

$2,823 交易量

<1%

波兰

$11,175 交易量

<1%

圣马力诺

$3,099 交易量

<1%

比利时

$3,090 交易量

<1%

阿塞拜疆

$2,982 交易量

<1%

亚美尼亚

$2,933 交易量

<1%

爱沙尼亚

$2,829 交易量

<1%

立陶宛

$2,600 交易量

<1%

卢森堡

$2,592 交易量

<1%

罗马尼亚

$2,729 交易量

<1%

瑞士

$2,653 交易量

<1%

挪威

$2,791 交易量

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong jury appeal from their recent national selection reveals. Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse," unveiled March 1, leverages her established pop pedigree and sophisticated production—hallmarks of past jury favorites like Australia's 2014 entry—catapulting it into frontrunner status amid online buzz and betting shifts. France's Monroe, a 17-year-old soprano sensation with dramatic "Regarde!" announced March 6, echoes operatic elements that juries historically reward, as in recent French successes. Finland (12%) and Denmark (8.5%) contend with high-energy rock entries from UMK and Melodi Grand Prix winners, but lack the duo's vocal firepower. With previews and rehearsals looming before Vienna's May finals, staging execution and live polish could swing the closely matched dynamics.

Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong jury appeal from their recent national selection reveals. Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse," unveiled March 1, leverages her established pop pedigree and sophisticated production—hallmarks of past jury favorites like Australia's 2014 entry—catapulting it into frontrunner status amid online buzz and betting shifts. France's Monroe, a 17-year-old soprano sensation with dramatic "Regarde!" announced March 6, echoes operatic elements that juries historically reward, as in recent French successes. Finland (12%) and Denmark (8.5%) contend with high-energy rock entries from UMK and Melodi Grand Prix winners, but lack the duo's vocal firepower. With previews and rehearsals looming before Vienna's May finals, staging execution and live polish could swing the closely matched dynamics.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong jury appeal from their recent national selection reveals. Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse," unveiled March 1, leverages her established pop pedigree and sophisticated production—hallmarks of past jury favorites like Australia's 2014 entry—catapulting it into frontrunner status amid online buzz and betting shifts. France's Monroe, a 17-year-old soprano sensation with dramatic "Regarde!" announced March 6, echoes operatic elements that juries historically reward, as in recent French successes. Finland (12%) and Denmark (8.5%) contend with high-energy rock entries from UMK and Melodi Grand Prix winners, but lack the duo's vocal firepower. With previews and rehearsals looming before Vienna's May finals, staging execution and live polish could swing the closely matched dynamics.

Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong jury appeal from their recent national selection reveals. Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse," unveiled March 1, leverages her established pop pedigree and sophisticated production—hallmarks of past jury favorites like Australia's 2014 entry—catapulting it into frontrunner status amid online buzz and betting shifts. France's Monroe, a 17-year-old soprano sensation with dramatic "Regarde!" announced March 6, echoes operatic elements that juries historically reward, as in recent French successes. Finland (12%) and Denmark (8.5%) contend with high-energy rock entries from UMK and Melodi Grand Prix winners, but lack the duo's vocal firepower. With previews and rehearsals looming before Vienna's May finals, staging execution and live polish could swing the closely matched dynamics.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"2026年欧洲歌唱大赛：评审团获奖者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 35 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"澳大利亚"，概率为 33%，其次是"法国"，概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 33¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 33%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年欧洲歌唱大赛：评审团获奖者"已产生 $597.3K 的总交易量（自Mar 9, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年欧洲歌唱大赛：评审团获奖者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 35 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年欧洲歌唱大赛：评审团获奖者"的当前领先者是"澳大利亚"，概率为 33%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 33%。紧随其后的结果是"法国"，概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年欧洲歌唱大赛：评审团获奖者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。