With national selections wrapping up over the past month—including recent wins like Poland's Alicja and Romania's finalists— all Eurovision 2026 entries are now revealed, fueling trader focus on the First Semi-Final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle on May 12. Strong Nordic contenders like Sweden and Finland lead early predictions thanks to polished pop songs, proven artists, and historical voting strength in qualifiers, while Balkan and Eastern entries vie via diaspora televotes and jury appeal for melody. Qualification hinges on live staging, performance execution, and the jury-televote split, with uncertainty high pre-rehearsals. Watch the running order draw on April 2, a pivotal catalyst that could reorder frontrunners and spark momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
$371,889 交易量
2026-05-12
芬兰
95%
瑞典
94%
希腊
94%
以色列
88%
摩尔多瓦
82%
克罗地亚
82%
塞尔维亚
67%
立陶宛
66%
比利时
50%
波兰
56%
黑山
55%
格鲁吉亚
45%
葡萄牙
32%
爱沙尼亚
20%
圣马力诺
12%
$371,889 交易量
芬兰
$326,399 交易量
95%
瑞典
$1,255 交易量
94%
希腊
$3,967 交易量
94%
以色列
$19,519 交易量
88%
摩尔多瓦
$0 交易量
82%
克罗地亚
$2,256 交易量
82%
塞尔维亚
$837 交易量
67%
立陶宛
$2,309 交易量
66%
比利时
$0 交易量
50%
波兰
$7,153 交易量
56%
黑山
$1,414 交易量
55%
格鲁吉亚
$166 交易量
45%
葡萄牙
$0 交易量
32%
爱沙尼亚
$1,568 交易量
20%
圣马力诺
$5,045 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapping up over the past month—including recent wins like Poland's Alicja and Romania's finalists— all Eurovision 2026 entries are now revealed, fueling trader focus on the First Semi-Final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle on May 12. Strong Nordic contenders like Sweden and Finland lead early predictions thanks to polished pop songs, proven artists, and historical voting strength in qualifiers, while Balkan and Eastern entries vie via diaspora televotes and jury appeal for melody. Qualification hinges on live staging, performance execution, and the jury-televote split, with uncertainty high pre-rehearsals. Watch the running order draw on April 2, a pivotal catalyst that could reorder frontrunners and spark momentum shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$371,889结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapping up over the past month—including recent wins like Poland's Alicja and Romania's finalists— all Eurovision 2026 entries are now revealed, fueling trader focus on the First Semi-Final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle on May 12. Strong Nordic contenders like Sweden and Finland lead early predictions thanks to polished pop songs, proven artists, and historical voting strength in qualifiers, while Balkan and Eastern entries vie via diaspora televotes and jury appeal for melody. Qualification hinges on live staging, performance execution, and the jury-televote split, with uncertainty high pre-rehearsals. Watch the running order draw on April 2, a pivotal catalyst that could reorder frontrunners and spark momentum shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$371,889结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapping up over the past month—including recent wins like Poland's Alicja and Romania's finalists— all Eurovision 2026 entries are now revealed, fueling trader focus on the First Semi-Final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle on May 12. Strong Nordic contenders like Sweden and Finland lead early predictions thanks to polished pop songs, proven artists, and historical voting strength in qualifiers, while Balkan and Eastern entries vie via diaspora televotes and jury appeal for melody. Qualification hinges on live staging, performance execution, and the jury-televote split, with uncertainty high pre-rehearsals. Watch the running order draw on April 2, a pivotal catalyst that could reorder frontrunners and spark momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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