With national selections now complete for all 15 entrants in Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong momentum for frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas, and Sweden's "My System" by Felicia, buoyed by recent song releases and early betting odds favoring their televote and jury appeal. The January allocation draw pitted competitive acts from Georgia, Israel, Poland, and Moldova against each other, heightening qualification risks in a field where top 10 advance via 50/50 jury-televoting. Tomorrow's running order announcement could trigger shifts, as staging and draw position historically sway outcomes for Balkan and Nordic entries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
$410,614 交易量
2026-05-12
芬兰
96%
希腊
94%
瑞典
94%
以色列
89%
摩尔多瓦
82%
克罗地亚
81%
立陶宛
68%
塞尔维亚
66%
比利时
50%
黑山
57%
波兰
46%
格鲁吉亚
45%
葡萄牙
32%
爱沙尼亚
20%
圣马力诺
16%
$410,614 交易量
芬兰
$326,457 交易量
96%
希腊
$3,967 交易量
94%
瑞典
$1,303 交易量
94%
以色列
$19,535 交易量
89%
摩尔多瓦
$1,426 交易量
82%
克罗地亚
$2,256 交易量
81%
立陶宛
$2,439 交易量
68%
塞尔维亚
$837 交易量
66%
比利时
$6,160 交易量
50%
黑山
$1,414 交易量
57%
波兰
$7,153 交易量
46%
格鲁吉亚
$166 交易量
45%
葡萄牙
$30,880 交易量
32%
爱沙尼亚
$1,574 交易量
20%
圣马力诺
$5,045 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections now complete for all 15 entrants in Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong momentum for frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas, and Sweden's "My System" by Felicia, buoyed by recent song releases and early betting odds favoring their televote and jury appeal. The January allocation draw pitted competitive acts from Georgia, Israel, Poland, and Moldova against each other, heightening qualification risks in a field where top 10 advance via 50/50 jury-televoting. Tomorrow's running order announcement could trigger shifts, as staging and draw position historically sway outcomes for Balkan and Nordic entries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$410,614结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections now complete for all 15 entrants in Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong momentum for frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas, and Sweden's "My System" by Felicia, buoyed by recent song releases and early betting odds favoring their televote and jury appeal. The January allocation draw pitted competitive acts from Georgia, Israel, Poland, and Moldova against each other, heightening qualification risks in a field where top 10 advance via 50/50 jury-televoting. Tomorrow's running order announcement could trigger shifts, as staging and draw position historically sway outcomes for Balkan and Nordic entries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$410,614结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections now complete for all 15 entrants in Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong momentum for frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas, and Sweden's "My System" by Felicia, buoyed by recent song releases and early betting odds favoring their televote and jury appeal. The January allocation draw pitted competitive acts from Georgia, Israel, Poland, and Moldova against each other, heightening qualification risks in a field where top 10 advance via 50/50 jury-televoting. Tomorrow's running order announcement could trigger shifts, as staging and draw position historically sway outcomes for Balkan and Nordic entries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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