With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
$408,989 交易量
2026-05-12
芬兰
96%
瑞典
94%
希腊
94%
以色列
88%
摩尔多瓦
82%
克罗地亚
82%
塞尔维亚
66%
立陶宛
65%
波兰
55%
黑山
57%
格鲁吉亚
45%
比利时
50%
葡萄牙
32%
爱沙尼亚
20%
圣马力诺
12%
$408,989 交易量
芬兰
$326,452 交易量
96%
瑞典
$1,255 交易量
94%
希腊
$3,967 交易量
94%
以色列
$19,519 交易量
88%
摩尔多瓦
$0 交易量
82%
克罗地亚
$2,256 交易量
82%
塞尔维亚
$837 交易量
66%
立陶宛
$2,309 交易量
65%
波兰
$7,153 交易量
55%
黑山
$1,414 交易量
57%
格鲁吉亚
$166 交易量
45%
比利时
$6,160 交易量
50%
葡萄牙
$30,880 交易量
32%
爱沙尼亚
$1,574 交易量
20%
圣马力诺
$5,045 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$408,989结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$408,989结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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