The Eurovision Song Contest 2026 First Semi-Final, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 contenders including recent national selection winners like Sweden's Felicia with powerhouse "My System" from Melodifestivalen and Finland's surging "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, now leading early betting odds and prediction models such as The Model. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Georgia's Bzikebi ("On Replay"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") also draw trader attention amid boycotts by five nations protesting Israel's participation, thinning the field. With all entries confirmed post-March national finals, focus shifts to running order draw and rehearsals, where staging and televote momentum historically sway the top 10 qualifiers alongside jury votes from pre-qualified Germany and Italy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
$363,943 交易量
May 12, 2026
芬兰
95%
希腊
95%
瑞典
95%
以色列
88%
摩尔多瓦
82%
克罗地亚
82%
塞尔维亚
68%
立陶宛
66%
波兰
56%
黑山
55%
比利时
50%
格鲁吉亚
46%
葡萄牙
32%
爱沙尼亚
20%
圣马力诺
16%
$363,943 交易量
芬兰
$325,818 交易量
95%
希腊
$3,967 交易量
95%
瑞典
$1,253 交易量
95%
以色列
$19,501 交易量
88%
摩尔多瓦
$0 交易量
82%
克罗地亚
$2,256 交易量
82%
塞尔维亚
$826 交易量
68%
立陶宛
$2,304 交易量
66%
波兰
$0 交易量
56%
黑山
$1,365 交易量
55%
比利时
$0 交易量
50%
格鲁吉亚
$166 交易量
46%
葡萄牙
$0 交易量
32%
爱沙尼亚
$1,442 交易量
20%
圣马力诺
$5,045 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Eurovision Song Contest 2026 First Semi-Final, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 contenders including recent national selection winners like Sweden's Felicia with powerhouse "My System" from Melodifestivalen and Finland's surging "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, now leading early betting odds and prediction models such as The Model. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Georgia's Bzikebi ("On Replay"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") also draw trader attention amid boycotts by five nations protesting Israel's participation, thinning the field. With all entries confirmed post-March national finals, focus shifts to running order draw and rehearsals, where staging and televote momentum historically sway the top 10 qualifiers alongside jury votes from pre-qualified Germany and Italy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$363,943结束日期
May 12, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Eurovision Song Contest 2026 First Semi-Final, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 contenders including recent national selection winners like Sweden's Felicia with powerhouse "My System" from Melodifestivalen and Finland's surging "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, now leading early betting odds and prediction models such as The Model. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Georgia's Bzikebi ("On Replay"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") also draw trader attention amid boycotts by five nations protesting Israel's participation, thinning the field. With all entries confirmed post-March national finals, focus shifts to running order draw and rehearsals, where staging and televote momentum historically sway the top 10 qualifiers alongside jury votes from pre-qualified Germany and Italy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$363,943结束日期
May 12, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Eurovision Song Contest 2026 First Semi-Final, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 contenders including recent national selection winners like Sweden's Felicia with powerhouse "My System" from Melodifestivalen and Finland's surging "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, now leading early betting odds and prediction models such as The Model. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Georgia's Bzikebi ("On Replay"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") also draw trader attention amid boycotts by five nations protesting Israel's participation, thinning the field. With all entries confirmed post-March national finals, focus shifts to running order draw and rehearsals, where staging and televote momentum historically sway the top 10 qualifiers alongside jury votes from pre-qualified Germany and Italy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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