Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries—including Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—vie for the top 10 spots to advance to the Grand Final, joined by pre-qualified Germany and Italy who perform and vote. With all national selections finalized by early March, recent song releases like Georgia's Bzikebi "On Replay" and Poland's Alicja "Pray" have solidified trader consensus around strong melodic entries and established acts, while staging previews from pre-parties fuel momentum shifts. Running order reveals April 2 could spotlight frontrunners, as jury and televote dynamics—historically favoring Nordic pop and Balkan ballads—plus "Rest of the World" online votes, heighten uncertainty ahead of first rehearsals in late April.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
$410,415 交易量
2026-05-12
芬兰
96%
瑞典
94%
希腊
94%
以色列
87%
摩尔多瓦
82%
克罗地亚
82%
塞尔维亚
66%
立陶宛
65%
波兰
53%
比利时
51%
黑山
57%
格鲁吉亚
45%
葡萄牙
32%
爱沙尼亚
20%
圣马力诺
16%
$410,415 交易量
芬兰
$326,452 交易量
96%
瑞典
$1,255 交易量
94%
希腊
$3,967 交易量
94%
以色列
$19,519 交易量
87%
摩尔多瓦
$1,426 交易量
82%
克罗地亚
$2,256 交易量
82%
塞尔维亚
$837 交易量
66%
立陶宛
$2,309 交易量
65%
波兰
$7,153 交易量
53%
比利时
$6,160 交易量
51%
黑山
$1,414 交易量
57%
格鲁吉亚
$166 交易量
45%
葡萄牙
$30,880 交易量
32%
爱沙尼亚
$1,574 交易量
20%
圣马力诺
$5,045 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries—including Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—vie for the top 10 spots to advance to the Grand Final, joined by pre-qualified Germany and Italy who perform and vote. With all national selections finalized by early March, recent song releases like Georgia's Bzikebi "On Replay" and Poland's Alicja "Pray" have solidified trader consensus around strong melodic entries and established acts, while staging previews from pre-parties fuel momentum shifts. Running order reveals April 2 could spotlight frontrunners, as jury and televote dynamics—historically favoring Nordic pop and Balkan ballads—plus "Rest of the World" online votes, heighten uncertainty ahead of first rehearsals in late April.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$410,415结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries—including Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—vie for the top 10 spots to advance to the Grand Final, joined by pre-qualified Germany and Italy who perform and vote. With all national selections finalized by early March, recent song releases like Georgia's Bzikebi "On Replay" and Poland's Alicja "Pray" have solidified trader consensus around strong melodic entries and established acts, while staging previews from pre-parties fuel momentum shifts. Running order reveals April 2 could spotlight frontrunners, as jury and televote dynamics—historically favoring Nordic pop and Balkan ballads—plus "Rest of the World" online votes, heighten uncertainty ahead of first rehearsals in late April.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$410,415结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries—including Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—vie for the top 10 spots to advance to the Grand Final, joined by pre-qualified Germany and Italy who perform and vote. With all national selections finalized by early March, recent song releases like Georgia's Bzikebi "On Replay" and Poland's Alicja "Pray" have solidified trader consensus around strong melodic entries and established acts, while staging previews from pre-parties fuel momentum shifts. Running order reveals April 2 could spotlight frontrunners, as jury and televote dynamics—historically favoring Nordic pop and Balkan ballads—plus "Rest of the World" online votes, heighten uncertainty ahead of first rehearsals in late April.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题