The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
$413,257 交易量
2026-05-12
芬兰
98%
瑞典
94%
希腊
94%
以色列
89%
克罗地亚
83%
摩尔多瓦
83%
立陶宛
73%
塞尔维亚
69%
波兰
53%
比利时
52%
黑山
57%
格鲁吉亚
47%
葡萄牙
32%
爱沙尼亚
21%
圣马力诺
14%
$413,257 交易量
芬兰
$328,580 交易量
98%
瑞典
$1,467 交易量
94%
希腊
$4,018 交易量
94%
以色列
$19,535 交易量
89%
克罗地亚
$2,256 交易量
83%
摩尔多瓦
$1,426 交易量
83%
立陶宛
$2,591 交易量
73%
塞尔维亚
$839 交易量
69%
波兰
$7,240 交易量
53%
比利时
$6,224 交易量
52%
黑山
$1,414 交易量
57%
格鲁吉亚
$166 交易量
47%
葡萄牙
$30,880 交易量
32%
爱沙尼亚
$1,574 交易量
21%
圣马力诺
$5,045 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$413,257结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$413,257结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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