Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 in Vienna centers on standout national final winners like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Estonia's returning Vanilla Ninja ("Too Epic To Be True"), and Poland's Alicja ("Pray"), buoyed by strong early fan polls and streaming buzz from songs released in the past three weeks. Recent developments include the completion of all 15 entrants' entries—spanning uptempo pop from Greece's Akylas and folk-infused tracks like Georgia's Bzikebi—amid ongoing controversy over Israel's Noam Bettan amid boycotts by several nations. Upcoming running order draw in early April and first rehearsals mid-month could spark momentum shifts via staging previews, while historical televote strength from Nordics and Balkans shapes qualification dynamics for the top 10 spots.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛
$410,551 交易量
2026-05-12
芬兰
96%
瑞典
94%
希腊
94%
以色列
89%
摩尔多瓦
82%
克罗地亚
82%
立陶宛
68%
塞尔维亚
66%
波兰
53%
比利时
50%
黑山
58%
格鲁吉亚
45%
葡萄牙
32%
爱沙尼亚
20%
圣马力诺
16%
$410,551 交易量
芬兰
$326,452 交易量
96%
瑞典
$1,255 交易量
94%
希腊
$3,967 交易量
94%
以色列
$19,525 交易量
89%
摩尔多瓦
$1,426 交易量
82%
克罗地亚
$2,256 交易量
82%
立陶宛
$2,439 交易量
68%
塞尔维亚
$837 交易量
66%
波兰
$7,153 交易量
53%
比利时
$6,160 交易量
50%
黑山
$1,414 交易量
58%
格鲁吉亚
$166 交易量
45%
葡萄牙
$30,880 交易量
32%
爱沙尼亚
$1,574 交易量
20%
圣马力诺
$5,045 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 in Vienna centers on standout national final winners like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Estonia's returning Vanilla Ninja ("Too Epic To Be True"), and Poland's Alicja ("Pray"), buoyed by strong early fan polls and streaming buzz from songs released in the past three weeks. Recent developments include the completion of all 15 entrants' entries—spanning uptempo pop from Greece's Akylas and folk-infused tracks like Georgia's Bzikebi—amid ongoing controversy over Israel's Noam Bettan amid boycotts by several nations. Upcoming running order draw in early April and first rehearsals mid-month could spark momentum shifts via staging previews, while historical televote strength from Nordics and Balkans shapes qualification dynamics for the top 10 spots.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$410,551结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 in Vienna centers on standout national final winners like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Estonia's returning Vanilla Ninja ("Too Epic To Be True"), and Poland's Alicja ("Pray"), buoyed by strong early fan polls and streaming buzz from songs released in the past three weeks. Recent developments include the completion of all 15 entrants' entries—spanning uptempo pop from Greece's Akylas and folk-infused tracks like Georgia's Bzikebi—amid ongoing controversy over Israel's Noam Bettan amid boycotts by several nations. Upcoming running order draw in early April and first rehearsals mid-month could spark momentum shifts via staging previews, while historical televote strength from Nordics and Balkans shapes qualification dynamics for the top 10 spots.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$410,551结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 in Vienna centers on standout national final winners like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Estonia's returning Vanilla Ninja ("Too Epic To Be True"), and Poland's Alicja ("Pray"), buoyed by strong early fan polls and streaming buzz from songs released in the past three weeks. Recent developments include the completion of all 15 entrants' entries—spanning uptempo pop from Greece's Akylas and folk-infused tracks like Georgia's Bzikebi—amid ongoing controversy over Israel's Noam Bettan amid boycotts by several nations. Upcoming running order draw in early April and first rehearsals mid-month could spark momentum shifts via staging previews, while historical televote strength from Nordics and Balkans shapes qualification dynamics for the top 10 spots.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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