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政治·美国大选

Democratic VP nominee on election day?

Market icon
政治·美国大选

Democratic VP nominee on election day?

Tim Walz 100.0%

Michelle Obama <1%

Hillary Clinton <1%

Kamala Harris <1%

Polymarket

$244,526,070 交易量

Tim Walz 100.0%

Michelle Obama <1%

Hillary Clinton <1%

Kamala Harris <1%

Polymarket

$244,526,070 交易量

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Tim Walz

$8,356,293 交易量

Yes

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Michelle Obama

$36,277,175 交易量

No

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Hillary Clinton

$7,638,434 交易量

No

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Kamala Harris

$15,875,426 交易量

No

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Joe Biden

$8,004,700 交易量

No

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Pete Buttigieg

$7,459,054 交易量

No

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Gretchen Whitmer

$10,905,762 交易量

No

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Gavin Newsom

$92,886,849 交易量

No

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J.B. Pritzker

$9,478,960 交易量

No

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Andy Beshear

$8,399,892 交易量

No

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Josh Shapiro

$8,974,653 交易量

No

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Mark Kelly

$11,192,303 交易量

No

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Gina Raimondo

$10,481,811 交易量

No

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Other

$8,594,757 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gretchen Whitmer is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if J.B. Pritzker is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Beshear is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Shapiro is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Kelly is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gina Raimondo is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Gretchen Whitmer, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, J.B. Pritzker, Hillary Clinton, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Josh Shapiro, Mark Kelly, or Gina Raimondo is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
交易量
$244,526,070
结束日期
Nov 4, 2024
市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2024, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gretchen Whitmer is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if J.B. Pritzker is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Beshear is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Shapiro is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Kelly is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gina Raimondo is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Gretchen Whitmer, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, J.B. Pritzker, Hillary Clinton, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Josh Shapiro, Mark Kelly, or Gina Raimondo is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Democratic VP nominee on election day?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Tim Walz"，概率为 100%，其次是"Michelle Obama"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Democratic VP nominee on election day?"已产生 $244.5 million 的总交易量（自Aug 9, 2024市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Democratic VP nominee on election day?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Democratic VP nominee on election day?"的当前领先者是"Tim Walz"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Michelle Obama"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Democratic VP nominee on election day?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。