The overwhelming 90% market-implied probability against a Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing and the compressed timeline remaining for regulatory review and market conditions. As a leading enterprise data and AI platform, the company completed a $4 billion Series L round in late 2025 at a $134 billion valuation while reporting strong revenue growth in its AI and data warehousing segments. Analysts note ongoing preparations for a potential listing, including recent debt financing, yet project an S-1 in the second half of 2026 at the earliest. Traders appear focused on the typical six-to-twelve-month window between filing and debut, alongside broader IPO market volatility that could further delay execution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年6月30日前未上市 89.4%
2500亿以上 3.6%
2000–2500 亿 2.1%
1250–1500 亿 1.1%
$404,869 交易量
$404,869 交易量
2026-06-30
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–1250 亿
<1%
1250–1500 亿
1%
1500–1750亿美元
<1%
1750–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–2500 亿
2%
2500亿以上
4%
2026年6月30日前未上市
91%
2026年6月30日前未上市 89.4%
2500亿以上 3.6%
2000–2500 亿 2.1%
1250–1500 亿 1.1%
$404,869 交易量
$404,869 交易量
2026-06-30
低于1000亿
$33,266 交易量
<1%
1000–1250 亿
$62,218 交易量
<1%
1250–1500 亿
$26,707 交易量
1%
1500–1750亿美元
$59,926 交易量
<1%
1750–2000亿美元
$58,179 交易量
<1%
2000–2500 亿
$21,141 交易量
2%
2500亿以上
$126,920 交易量
4%
2026年6月30日前未上市
$16,513 交易量
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The overwhelming 90% market-implied probability against a Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing and the compressed timeline remaining for regulatory review and market conditions. As a leading enterprise data and AI platform, the company completed a $4 billion Series L round in late 2025 at a $134 billion valuation while reporting strong revenue growth in its AI and data warehousing segments. Analysts note ongoing preparations for a potential listing, including recent debt financing, yet project an S-1 in the second half of 2026 at the earliest. Traders appear focused on the typical six-to-twelve-month window between filing and debut, alongside broader IPO market volatility that could further delay execution.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
交易量
$404,869结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The overwhelming 90% market-implied probability against a Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing and the compressed timeline remaining for regulatory review and market conditions. As a leading enterprise data and AI platform, the company completed a $4 billion Series L round in late 2025 at a $134 billion valuation while reporting strong revenue growth in its AI and data warehousing segments. Analysts note ongoing preparations for a potential listing, including recent debt financing, yet project an S-1 in the second half of 2026 at the earliest. Traders appear focused on the typical six-to-twelve-month window between filing and debut, alongside broader IPO market volatility that could further delay execution.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$404,869结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The overwhelming 90% market-implied probability against a Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing and the compressed timeline remaining for regulatory review and market conditions. As a leading enterprise data and AI platform, the company completed a $4 billion Series L round in late 2025 at a $134 billion valuation while reporting strong revenue growth in its AI and data warehousing segments. Analysts note ongoing preparations for a potential listing, including recent debt financing, yet project an S-1 in the second half of 2026 at the earliest. Traders appear focused on the typical six-to-twelve-month window between filing and debut, alongside broader IPO market volatility that could further delay execution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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