Databricks’ private valuation trajectory, recently closing a $5 billion round at $190 billion amid $7 billion-plus revenue run-rate and 80%+ YoY growth, underpins trader sentiment for mid-to-high market-cap outcomes at IPO while CEO comments labeling 2026 a “terrible” year for listings and the absence of an S-1 filing elevate the 63% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Strong AI-driven fundamentals and comparisons to Snowflake’s $116 billion market cap support the 46–48% odds clustered in the $150–300 billion ranges, reflecting expectations for premium multiples on sustained growth. Key near-term catalysts include any Q3–Q4 2026 filing signals or further private rounds that could shift market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于低于1500亿美元 99%
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元 99%
2000亿-2500亿美元 99%
2500亿-3000亿美元 99%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
99%
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
99%
2000亿-2500亿美元
99%
2500亿-3000亿美元
99%
3000亿-3500亿美元
99%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
99%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
99%
4500亿以上
99%
2027年12月31日前未上市
63%
低于1500亿美元 99%
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元 99%
2000亿-2500亿美元 99%
2500亿-3000亿美元 99%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
$0 交易量
99%
1500 亿美元-2000 亿美元
$0 交易量
99%
2000亿-2500亿美元
$18 交易量
99%
2500亿-3000亿美元
$18 交易量
99%
3000亿-3500亿美元
$18 交易量
99%
3500亿美元-4000亿美元
$18 交易量
99%
4000亿美元-4500亿美元
$0 交易量
99%
4500亿以上
$0 交易量
99%
2027年12月31日前未上市
$172 交易量
63%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ private valuation trajectory, recently closing a $5 billion round at $190 billion amid $7 billion-plus revenue run-rate and 80%+ YoY growth, underpins trader sentiment for mid-to-high market-cap outcomes at IPO while CEO comments labeling 2026 a “terrible” year for listings and the absence of an S-1 filing elevate the 63% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Strong AI-driven fundamentals and comparisons to Snowflake’s $116 billion market cap support the 46–48% odds clustered in the $150–300 billion ranges, reflecting expectations for premium multiples on sustained growth. Key near-term catalysts include any Q3–Q4 2026 filing signals or further private rounds that could shift market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$244结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ private valuation trajectory, recently closing a $5 billion round at $190 billion amid $7 billion-plus revenue run-rate and 80%+ YoY growth, underpins trader sentiment for mid-to-high market-cap outcomes at IPO while CEO comments labeling 2026 a “terrible” year for listings and the absence of an S-1 filing elevate the 63% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Strong AI-driven fundamentals and comparisons to Snowflake’s $116 billion market cap support the 46–48% odds clustered in the $150–300 billion ranges, reflecting expectations for premium multiples on sustained growth. Key near-term catalysts include any Q3–Q4 2026 filing signals or further private rounds that could shift market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$244结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks’ private valuation trajectory, recently closing a $5 billion round at $190 billion amid $7 billion-plus revenue run-rate and 80%+ YoY growth, underpins trader sentiment for mid-to-high market-cap outcomes at IPO while CEO comments labeling 2026 a “terrible” year for listings and the absence of an S-1 filing elevate the 63% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Strong AI-driven fundamentals and comparisons to Snowflake’s $116 billion market cap support the 46–48% odds clustered in the $150–300 billion ranges, reflecting expectations for premium multiples on sustained growth. Key near-term catalysts include any Q3–Q4 2026 filing signals or further private rounds that could shift market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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