Xi Jinping’s repeated anti-corruption purges and personnel reshuffles within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army have centralized authority and reinforced loyalty mechanisms, driving the 96.4 percent trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia and associated military turnover generated external speculation but yielded no confirmed organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or challenge to central directives. Ongoing elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress has further aligned command structures without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions before the December 2026 resolution window, though the absence of public signals of dissent supports expectations of continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$132,073 交易量
$132,073 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$132,073 交易量
$132,073 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s repeated anti-corruption purges and personnel reshuffles within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army have centralized authority and reinforced loyalty mechanisms, driving the 96.4 percent trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia and associated military turnover generated external speculation but yielded no confirmed organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or challenge to central directives. Ongoing elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress has further aligned command structures without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions before the December 2026 resolution window, though the absence of public signals of dissent supports expectations of continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$132,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s repeated anti-corruption purges and personnel reshuffles within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army have centralized authority and reinforced loyalty mechanisms, driving the 96.4 percent trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia and associated military turnover generated external speculation but yielded no confirmed organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or challenge to central directives. Ongoing elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress has further aligned command structures without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions before the December 2026 resolution window, though the absence of public signals of dissent supports expectations of continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$132,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s repeated anti-corruption purges and personnel reshuffles within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army have centralized authority and reinforced loyalty mechanisms, driving the 96.4 percent trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia and associated military turnover generated external speculation but yielded no confirmed organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or challenge to central directives. Ongoing elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress has further aligned command structures without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions before the December 2026 resolution window, though the absence of public signals of dissent supports expectations of continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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