Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption purges and senior military reshuffles have centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, producing trader consensus that no widely reported coup attempt will occur before the end of 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and subsequent personnel turnover generated brief external speculation yet produced no confirmed resistance, leadership vacuum, or organized challenge to central directives. Loyalty mechanisms and elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have reinforced control within the opaque system. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$132,073 交易量
$132,073 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$132,073 交易量
$132,073 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption purges and senior military reshuffles have centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, producing trader consensus that no widely reported coup attempt will occur before the end of 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and subsequent personnel turnover generated brief external speculation yet produced no confirmed resistance, leadership vacuum, or organized challenge to central directives. Loyalty mechanisms and elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have reinforced control within the opaque system. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$132,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption purges and senior military reshuffles have centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, producing trader consensus that no widely reported coup attempt will occur before the end of 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and subsequent personnel turnover generated brief external speculation yet produced no confirmed resistance, leadership vacuum, or organized challenge to central directives. Loyalty mechanisms and elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have reinforced control within the opaque system. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$132,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption purges and senior military reshuffles have centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, producing trader consensus that no widely reported coup attempt will occur before the end of 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and subsequent personnel turnover generated brief external speculation yet produced no confirmed resistance, leadership vacuum, or organized challenge to central directives. Loyalty mechanisms and elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have reinforced control within the opaque system. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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