Trader consensus on the Ballon d'Or 2026 reflects a tightly contested early-season landscape in the 2024-25 campaign, with Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane deadlocked at 26% implied probability and Lamine Yamal close behind at 23.5%, underscoring no dominant force yet emerging amid club and international action. Mbappé's penalty strike in Real Madrid's 5-2 Champions League rout of Dortmund last week bolsters his case at his new club, where he's adapting amid La Liga title defense. Kane notched Bayern Munich's lone goal in their 1-4 upset loss to Barcelona, maintaining his Bundesliga scoring prowess. Yamal's creativity shone in Spain's Nations League win over Netherlands and Barcelona's thrashing of Bayern, fueling hype for the 17-year-old prodigy as Euro 2024 form carries forward in a parity-driven race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年金球奖得主
2026年金球奖得主
哈里·凯恩 28.2%
基利安·姆巴佩 26%
拉明·亚马尔 24%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 8.5%
$1,450,628 交易量
$1,450,628 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
哈里·凯恩
28%
基利安·姆巴佩
26%
拉明·亚马尔
24%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
9%
佩德里
4%
裘德·贝林厄姆
4%
科尔·帕尔默
3%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
2%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
1%
哈里·凯恩 28.2%
基利安·姆巴佩 26%
拉明·亚马尔 24%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 8.5%
$1,450,628 交易量
$1,450,628 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
哈里·凯恩
$335,552 交易量
28%
基利安·姆巴佩
$60,846 交易量
26%
拉明·亚马尔
$34,065 交易量
24%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
$283,533 交易量
9%
佩德里
$177,177 交易量
4%
裘德·贝林厄姆
$174,129 交易量
4%
科尔·帕尔默
$0 交易量
3%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
$178,235 交易量
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
$207,091 交易量
2%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$1,450,628结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$1,450,628结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Ballon d'Or 2026 reflects a tightly contested early-season landscape in the 2024-25 campaign, with Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane deadlocked at 26% implied probability and Lamine Yamal close behind at 23.5%, underscoring no dominant force yet emerging amid club and international action. Mbappé's penalty strike in Real Madrid's 5-2 Champions League rout of Dortmund last week bolsters his case at his new club, where he's adapting amid La Liga title defense. Kane notched Bayern Munich's lone goal in their 1-4 upset loss to Barcelona, maintaining his Bundesliga scoring prowess. Yamal's creativity shone in Spain's Nations League win over Netherlands and Barcelona's thrashing of Bayern, fueling hype for the 17-year-old prodigy as Euro 2024 form carries forward in a parity-driven race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题