Market icon

2026年金球奖得主

Market icon

2026年金球奖得主

哈里·凯恩 24.2%

拉明·亚马尔 24%

基利安·姆巴佩 23%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,598,055 交易量

哈里·凯恩 24.2%

拉明·亚马尔 24%

基利安·姆巴佩 23%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,598,055 交易量

哈里·凯恩

$467,223 交易量

24%

拉明·亚马尔

$34,325 交易量

24%

基利安·姆巴佩

$62,801 交易量

23%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔

$283,902 交易量

6%

佩德里

$177,177 交易量

4%

科尔·帕尔默

$0 交易量

3%

裘德·贝林厄姆

$175,015 交易量

2%

奥斯曼·登贝莱

$178,447 交易量

2%

埃尔林·哈兰德

$219,167 交易量

2%

穆罕默德·萨拉赫

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested Ballon d'Or 2026 race, with Lamine Yamal (24%), Harry Kane (23.4%), and Kylian Mbappé (22.5%) clustered atop implied probabilities amid the early 2024-25 season's volatility. Yamal's explosive La Liga form—four goals and five assists in Barcelona's unbeaten start—builds on his Euro 2024 breakout for champion Spain, positioning the 17-year-old as a rising star. Kane's Bundesliga dominance, with 11 goals in seven matches fueling Bayern Munich's title push, underscores his consistent goal-scoring prowess. Mbappé, despite a slower Real Madrid adaptation (six goals, mostly penalties), leverages France's international pedigree and Madrid's La Liga lead. The narrow spread highlights uncertainty, as club titles, Champions League runs, and 2026 World Cup qualifiers will sharpen the hierarchy among young talents like Pedri and veterans chasing peak campaigns.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$1,598,055
结束日期
Oct 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested Ballon d'Or 2026 race, with Lamine Yamal (24%), Harry Kane (23.4%), and Kylian Mbappé (22.5%) clustered atop implied probabilities amid the early 2024-25 season's volatility. Yamal's explosive La Liga form—four goals and five assists in Barcelona's unbeaten start—builds on his Euro 2024 breakout for champion Spain, positioning the 17-year-old as a rising star. Kane's Bundesliga dominance, with 11 goals in seven matches fueling Bayern Munich's title push, underscores his consistent goal-scoring prowess. Mbappé, despite a slower Real Madrid adaptation (six goals, mostly penalties), leverages France's international pedigree and Madrid's La Liga lead. The narrow spread highlights uncertainty, as club titles, Champions League runs, and 2026 World Cup qualifiers will sharpen the hierarchy among young talents like Pedri and veterans chasing peak campaigns.

Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested Ballon d'Or 2026 race, with Lamine Yamal (24%), Harry Kane (23.4%), and Kylian Mbappé (22.5%) clustered atop implied probabilities amid the early 2024-25 season's volatility. Yamal's explosive La Liga form—four goals and five assists in Barcelona's unbeaten start—builds on his Euro 2024 breakout for champion Spain, positioning the 17-year-old as a rising star. Kane's Bundesliga dominance, with 11 goals in seven matches fueling Bayern Munich's title push, underscores his consistent goal-scoring prowess. Mbappé, despite a slower Real Madrid adaptation (six goals, mostly penalties), leverages France's international pedigree and Madrid's La Liga lead. The narrow spread highlights uncertainty, as club titles, Champions League runs, and 2026 World Cup qualifiers will sharpen the hierarchy among young talents like Pedri and veterans chasing peak campaigns.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年金球奖得主"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"哈里·凯恩"，概率为 24%，其次是"拉明·亚马尔"，概率为 24%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年金球奖得主"已产生 $1.6 million 的总交易量（自Sep 22, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年金球奖得主"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年金球奖得主"的当前领先者是"哈里·凯恩"，概率为 24%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。紧随其后的结果是"拉明·亚马尔"，概率为 24%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年金球奖得主"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。